L’École des cotes

IF Gnistan v AC Oulu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 16:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prévision 33.90%2.95cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.465%
Kelly -0.708%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.59%33.93%33.87%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.722.752.9140.00%36.71%36.36%34.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

AC Oulu (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.68%2.52cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.22%39.62%39.72%40.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.4447.62%43.48%43.48%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.43%3.78cote équitable
EV -3.55%
Avantage -0.972%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.10%26.45%26.41%28.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.453.453.6534.72%28.98%28.99%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.05%EV -1.35%E -0.465%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.24%EV -5.18%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 15:59
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.52%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.84%EV -3.19%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -3.55%E -0.972%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.52%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.84%EV -3.19%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -3.55%E -0.972%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.54%EV -5.97%E -2.52%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.55%E -0.972%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 15:58
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Marathon Bet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.44%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.76%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.76%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:00
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.07%EV -6.10%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.18%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.44%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:00
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:00
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:00
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:59
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:59
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.47%E -3.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 15:59
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:00
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:00
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 16:00
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:00
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.47%E -3.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 16:00
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -14.30%E -6.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:00
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.81%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 15:59
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.84%E -4.12%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:59
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.84%E -4.12%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:59
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.84%E -4.12%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -14.12%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 15:58
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 16:00
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.86%E -4.56%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 15:59
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.25%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -14.70%E -6.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.97%EV -15.25%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.50%EV -14.70%E -6.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.54%EV -15.44%E -4.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -15.25%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -16.68%E -7.94%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -23.89%E -8.30%K -12.71%G +0.000%22.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.85%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-04-04 16:00