La escuela de los momios

IF Gnistan v AC Oulu

Inicio: 2026-04-04 16:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Predicción 33.90%2.95momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.465%
Kelly -0.708%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.59%33.93%33.87%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.722.752.9140.00%36.71%36.36%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AC Oulu (Visitante)

Predicción 39.68%2.52momio equitativo
EV -3.19%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.22%39.62%39.72%40.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4447.62%43.48%43.48%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.43%3.78momio equitativo
EV -3.55%
Ventaja -0.972%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.10%26.45%26.41%28.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.453.453.6534.72%28.98%28.99%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.05%EV -1.35%E -0.465%K -0.708%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.24%EV -5.18%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 15:59
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.52%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.84%EV -3.19%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -3.55%E -0.972%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:00
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 33.52%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.84%EV -3.19%E -1.31%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -3.55%E -0.972%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.13%EV -1.69%E -0.583%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.54%EV -5.97%E -2.52%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.55%E -0.972%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 15:58
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -5.08%E -1.81%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 16:00
Marathon Bet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.44%EV -5.42%E -1.94%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.05%EV -7.56%E -3.24%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.98%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:00
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.76%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:00
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.63%EV -5.76%E -2.07%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 16:00
GTbets2.77I 36.10%NM 34.07%EV -6.10%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.18%E -2.17%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.44%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 16:00
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 16:00
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 16:00
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:59
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 15:59
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -11.47%E -3.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 15:59
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:00
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -6.78%E -2.46%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.83%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 16:00
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 16:00
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 16:00
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -4.78%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:00
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.47%E -3.43%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-04 16:00
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -8.47%E -3.14%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.74%EV -14.30%E -6.62%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 16:00
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.81%E -3.28%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -5.57%E -2.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.86%EV -4.34%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 15:59
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.76%E -2.88%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.51%E -2.15%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -10.17%E -3.84%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.84%E -4.12%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:59
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.84%E -4.12%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 15:59
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.84%E -4.12%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -14.12%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 15:58
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.75%E -3.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.80%E -3.88%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 16:00
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.18%E -4.27%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 16:00
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.86%E -4.56%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -10.73%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -4.87%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 15:59
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -15.25%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -14.70%E -6.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -10.15%E -2.99%K -4.23%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-04 15:59
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.97%EV -15.25%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.50%EV -14.70%E -6.84%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.54%EV -15.44%E -4.82%K -7.02%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 32.70%EV -15.25%E -6.10%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 38.92%EV -16.68%E -7.94%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.38%EV -23.89%E -8.30%K -12.71%G +0.000%22.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Matchbook2.92I 34.25%NM 33.82%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 33.85%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.26%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-04-04 16:00