Language:English
HJK Helsinki v VPS Vaasa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Prediction 46.13%2.17fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.42%46.18%45.96%47.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.002.002.1053.48%50.02%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VPS Vaasa (Visit)
Prediction 28.24%3.54fair odd
EV +0.830%
Edge +0.232%
Kelly +0.323%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.88%28.21%28.44%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.253.5733.33%30.88%30.77%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.63%3.90fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -0.689%
Kelly -0.935%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.61%25.60%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.503.8030.30%28.28%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 46.13%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 28.24%; Draw: 25.63%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.830%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.34%EV -5.90%E -2.89%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +0.830%E +0.232%K +0.323%G +0.003% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.61%EV -3.39%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-18 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -1.15%E -0.328%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -1.15%E -0.328%K -0.459%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.00%EV -8.20%E -4.12%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.88%EV -1.71%E -0.492%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -8.25%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.11%EV -8.66%E -4.38%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.72%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 11:40 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 11:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -7.28%E -3.62%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.70%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.59%EV -5.95%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-18 10:10 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.59%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.76%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.95%EV -6.23%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -2.62%E -0.689%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 11:40 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 11:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-18 11:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 10:00 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-18 10:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.02%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 11:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 11:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| betano_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -2.62%E -0.689%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 11:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.02%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-18 10:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-18 11:45 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 11:35 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-18 11:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -10.97%E -5.68%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -14.15%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.22%EV -11.43%E -5.95%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.47%EV -13.86%E -4.54%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-07-18 11:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 11:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-18 11:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-18 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.67%EV -13.74%E -7.35%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-07-18 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49% | 0.6% | 2026-07-18 11:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 0.9% | 2026-07-18 11:55 |