The School of Odds

HJK Helsinki v VPS Vaasa

2026-07-18 12:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prediction 49.47%2.02fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -6.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.35%49.66%49.29%50.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.841.9158%55%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

VPS Vaasa (Visit)

Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd
EV +0.377%
Edge +0.100%
Kelly +0.137%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.41%26.56%26.76%28.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.553.513.7532%28%28%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.77%4.21fair odd
EV -0.655%
Edge -0.157%
Kelly -0.206%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.54%23.78%23.94%25.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.773.734.1829%27%27%24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.47%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:24
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.47%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:24
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.47%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:24
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.47%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:24
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.47%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:25
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.47%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:24
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.47%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:24
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.47%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:24
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 50.71%EV -10.47%E -5.78%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 12:25
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV +0.377%E +0.100%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 12:24
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.00%E -3.73%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -0.962%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 16:19
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.00%E -3.73%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -0.962%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -12.06%E -3.26%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 16:19
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -0.962%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -13.25%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 12:24
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -0.962%E -0.260%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -13.25%E -3.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 12:24
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.82%EV -14.42%E -8.34%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -15.63%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-11 12:24
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 16:19
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -5.78%E -1.64%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -3.74%E -0.925%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 16:24
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.10%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -3.74%E -0.925%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 16:29
SportsBet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 16:24
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -7.50%E -4.01%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 16:24
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.32%E -1.80%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 18:54
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 49.78%EV -5.52%E -2.89%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.48%EV -7.39%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -0.655%E -0.157%K -0.206%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 16:29
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.16%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -6.12%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 16:24
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.16%EV -6.51%E -3.44%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.52%EV -6.12%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 16:29
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 16:19
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 16:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.69%E -2.55%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 16:20
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.99%E -2.64%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.87%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 16:24
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.19%EV -8.49%E -4.59%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.64%EV -8.50%E -2.21%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 16:29
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 48.35%EV -10.96%E -6.09%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -16.82%E -4.80%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-11 16:24
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -9.48%E -5.18%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -4.93%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-11 16:49
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.10%EV -14.42%E -8.34%K -19.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.97%EV -15.68%E -4.98%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.93%EV -15.63%E -4.40%K -6.13%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-11 16:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.