L’École des cotes

HJK Helsinki v VPS Vaasa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 12:00 UTC

Score final : HJK Helsinki 2–1 VPS Vaasa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prévision 46.13%2.17cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.42%46.18%45.96%47.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.002.002.1053.48%50.02%50.00%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VPS Vaasa (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.24%3.54cote équitable
EV +0.830%
Avantage +0.232%
Kelly +0.323%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.88%28.21%28.44%29.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.243.253.5733.33%30.88%30.77%28.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.63%3.90cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.689%
Kelly -0.935%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.24%25.61%25.60%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.543.503.8030.30%28.28%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.04I 49.02%NM 47.34%EV -5.90%E -2.89%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV +0.830%E +0.232%K +0.323%G +0.003%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.61%EV -3.39%E -0.898%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-18 11:50
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -1.15%E -0.328%K -0.459%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 11:45
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -1.15%E -0.328%K -0.459%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 11:45
1xBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.00%EV -8.20%E -4.12%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.88%EV -1.71%E -0.492%K -0.690%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.13%EV -8.25%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 11:49
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.11%EV -8.66%E -4.38%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -3.41%E -0.996%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.72%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 11:55
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.20%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -6.46%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 11:40
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 11:45
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 11:50
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 11:45
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 11:45
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 46.72%EV -7.28%E -3.62%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.70%EV -4.25%E -1.25%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.59%EV -5.95%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-18 10:10
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -5.38%E -1.61%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.59%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 11:45
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.76%EV -3.13%E -1.49%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.95%EV -6.23%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -2.62%E -0.689%K -0.935%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 11:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-18 11:55
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 11:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 11:39
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 11:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.80%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -12.87%E -3.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -4.05%E -1.95%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 11:40
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.44%E -2.65%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 11:35
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:55
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:55
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:55
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:55
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:55
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:55
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.48%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-18 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -8.21%E -2.53%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-18 10:00
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -6.82%E -3.38%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.02%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 11:40
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:45
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:40
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 11:45
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:55
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:55
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:55
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.62%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 11:55
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.28%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -11.03%E -3.50%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 11:45
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -2.62%E -0.689%K -0.935%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 11:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -5.18%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 11:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.28%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.02%E -2.54%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 10:00
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-18 11:45
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 11:35
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -7.74%E -3.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-18 11:35
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.48%EV -10.97%E -5.68%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.44%E -4.01%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -14.15%E -4.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.22%EV -11.43%E -5.95%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.47%EV -13.86%E -4.54%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -15.43%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-18 11:40
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-18 11:10
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -10.05%E -5.15%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -10.30%E -2.94%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-18 11:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.67%EV -13.74%E -7.35%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -15.27%E -5.09%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -7.74%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-18 11:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-07-18 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-07-18 11:50
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-07-18 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-07-18 11:55