Школа коэффициентов

HJK Helsinki v Ilves Tampere

Начало: 2026-05-16 11:00 UTC

Итог: HJK Helsinki 2–2 Ilves Tampere

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

53 букмекерские конторы (15 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

HJK Helsinki (Хозяева)

Прогноз 56.88%1.76справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.44%
Преимущество -2.64%
Kelly -6.53%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.68

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
55.19%56.92%56.83%58.48%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.621.631.6866.67%61.64%61.35%59.52%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ilves Tampere (Гости)

Прогноз 20.00%5.00справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.990%
Преимущество +0.196%
Kelly +0.244%
Рост +0.002%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.67%19.93%20.09%21.38%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.544.505.0523.81%22.04%22.22%19.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 23.12%4.33справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.74%
Преимущество -0.409%
Kelly -0.535%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.39%23.15%23.09%25.09%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.933.904.2530.30%25.46%25.64%23.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (53 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.05%EV +0.990%E +0.196%K +0.244%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 10:15
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.64%EV -1.81%E -0.369%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 10:55
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 10:55
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 10:35
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 10:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 10:53
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 10:50
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 10:55
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 10:54
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.16%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.77%EV -8.21%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 10:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 05:29
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -7.01%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:54
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 10:55
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 10:35
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -10.13%E -6.41%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 10:35
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 10:35
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 10:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -11.01%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 10:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 20:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 20:00
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 20:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:55
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.61%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -12.61%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 10:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 10:55
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.08%EV -11.26%E -7.22%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -15.01%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 20:01
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -12.97%E -8.48%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.48%EV -15.01%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 10:55
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.28%EV -11.83%E -7.63%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.20%EV -14.68%E -9.79%K -29.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.71%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.09%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.31%G +0.000%20.8%2026-05-16 10:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (4)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 10:55
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-16 10:55