La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
HJK Helsinki v Ilves Tampere
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Predicción 56.88%1.76momio equitativo
EV -4.44%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -6.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.19%56.92%56.83%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.621.631.6866.67%61.64%61.35%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ilves Tampere (Visitante)
Predicción 20.00%5.00momio equitativo
EV +0.990%
Ventaja +0.196%
Kelly +0.244%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.67%19.93%20.09%21.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.544.505.0523.81%22.04%22.22%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.12%4.33momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.409%
Kelly -0.535%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.39%23.15%23.09%25.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.933.904.2530.30%25.46%25.64%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.05%EV +0.990%E +0.196%K +0.244%G +0.002% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 10:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.64%EV -1.81%E -0.369%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 10:53 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 10:54 |
| GTbets | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.16%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.77%EV -8.21%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 05:29 |
| BetUS | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -7.01%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 10:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 20:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 20:01 |
| Casumo | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 20:01 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 20:01 |
| betPARX | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -10.13%E -6.41%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -11.01%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-14 20:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.61%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -12.61%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.08%EV -11.26%E -7.22%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -15.01%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-14 20:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -12.97%E -8.48%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.48%EV -15.01%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.28%EV -11.83%E -7.63%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.20%EV -14.68%E -9.79%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.71%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.09%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 20.8% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |