Szkoła Kursów

HJK Helsinki v Ilves Tampere

Początek: 2026-05-16 11:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: HJK Helsinki 2–2 Ilves Tampere

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

53 bukmacherów (15 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

HJK Helsinki (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 56.88%1.76kurs godziwy
EV -4.44%
Przewaga -2.64%
Kelly -6.53%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.68

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
55.19%56.92%56.83%58.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.621.631.6866.67%61.64%61.35%59.52%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ilves Tampere (Goście)

Prognoza 20.00%5.00kurs godziwy
EV +0.990%
Przewaga +0.196%
Kelly +0.244%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.05

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
18.67%19.93%20.09%21.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.204.544.505.0523.81%22.04%22.22%19.80%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 23.12%4.33kurs godziwy
EV -1.74%
Przewaga -0.409%
Kelly -0.535%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.39%23.15%23.09%25.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.933.904.2530.30%25.46%25.64%23.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (53 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.05%EV +0.990%E +0.196%K +0.244%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 10:15
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.64%EV -1.81%E -0.369%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 10:55
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 10:55
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 10:35
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 10:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 10:53
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 10:50
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 10:55
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 10:54
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.16%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.77%EV -8.21%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 10:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 05:29
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -7.01%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:54
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 10:55
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 10:35
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -10.13%E -6.41%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 10:35
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 10:35
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 10:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -11.01%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 10:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 20:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 20:00
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 20:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:55
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.61%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -12.61%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 10:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 10:55
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.08%EV -11.26%E -7.22%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -15.01%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 20:01
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -12.97%E -8.48%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.48%EV -15.01%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 10:55
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.28%EV -11.83%E -7.63%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.20%EV -14.68%E -9.79%K -29.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.71%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.09%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.31%G +0.000%20.8%2026-05-16 10:50
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (4)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 10:55
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-16 10:55