L’École des cotes

HJK Helsinki v Ilves Tampere

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 11:00 UTC

Score final : HJK Helsinki 2–2 Ilves Tampere

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prévision 56.88%1.76cote équitable
EV -4.44%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -6.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.19%56.92%56.83%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.631.6866.67%61.64%61.35%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ilves Tampere (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.00%5.00cote équitable
EV +0.990%
Avantage +0.196%
Kelly +0.244%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.67%19.93%20.09%21.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.544.505.0523.81%22.04%22.22%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.12%4.33cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.409%
Kelly -0.535%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.39%23.15%23.09%25.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.933.904.2530.30%25.46%25.64%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.31%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.05%EV +0.990%E +0.196%K +0.244%G +0.002%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.535%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 10:15
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.010%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:50
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.40%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.64%EV -1.81%E -0.369%K -0.463%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.96%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.904%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 10:55
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 10:55
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -4.01%E -0.835%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 10:35
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 10:35
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 10:53
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -5.01%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 10:50
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 10:55
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.09%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 10:54
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.16%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.77%EV -8.21%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 10:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 05:29
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.55%EV -5.58%E -3.36%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.97%EV -6.01%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.08%EV -7.01%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:54
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 10:55
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.99%E -5.62%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -8.01%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
Casumo1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:01
betPARX1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 20:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.15%E -3.72%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 10:45
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 10:35
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -10.13%E -6.41%K -17.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 10:35
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 10:35
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -10.70%E -6.81%K -18.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -10.01%E -2.22%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 10:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -11.01%E -2.47%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -4.05%E -0.976%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 10:55
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -6.71%E -4.09%K -10.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-14 20:00
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 20:00
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 20:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -12.01%E -2.73%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 10:55
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.61%EV -4.44%E -2.64%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.38%EV -12.61%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.01%EV -6.13%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 10:55
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.48%EV -7.28%E -4.47%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.03%EV -14.01%E -3.26%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 10:55
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.08%EV -11.26%E -7.22%K -20.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -15.01%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 20:01
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.90%EV -12.97%E -8.48%K -24.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.48%EV -15.01%E -3.53%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -7.85%E -4.85%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.34%EV -8.42%E -5.23%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 10:55
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.28%EV -11.83%E -7.63%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.20%EV -14.68%E -9.79%K -29.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.71%EV -16.01%E -3.81%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.09%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.31%G +0.000%20.8%2026-05-16 10:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 10:55
Matchbook1.72I 58.14%NM 57.56%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.41%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%1.0%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-05-16 10:55