Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

HJK Helsinki v IF Gnistan

2026-08-23 12:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prediction 57.00%1.75fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.88%
Kelly -7.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.14%57.06%56.75%58.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.571.561.6767.57%63.62%64.10%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Gnistan (Visit)

Prediction 20.30%4.93fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -0.950%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%20.22%20.56%21.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.584.604.7524.10%21.86%21.74%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.70%4.41fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.829%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.69%22.72%22.70%23.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.994.004.2527.40%25.06%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HJK Helsinki (Local): 57.00%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 20.30%; Draw: 22.70%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.41. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.25, with an expected value of -3.52%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.35%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.24%EV -10.06%E -2.27%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -4.66%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.64%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -11.47%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:24
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.90%EV -6.52%E -3.98%K -10.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -12.09%E -2.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:29
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.67%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -8.06%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:34
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -10.67%E -2.42%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -8.06%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 14:35
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.80%E -5.50%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -12.09%E -2.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 14:25
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.21%EV -9.94%E -6.29%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -6.93%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.14%EV -9.94%E -6.29%K -17.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.99%EV -15.74%E -3.79%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -17.14%E -4.70%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-16 14:24
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.70%EV -10.51%E -6.70%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -4.58%E -0.974%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -3.52%E -0.829%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 14:13
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.55%EV -10.51%E -6.70%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -4.58%E -0.974%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.66%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-16 14:19
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -10.51%E -6.70%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.64%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.66%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 14:20
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.51%E -6.70%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 12:04
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.51%E -6.70%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -8.64%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -11.08%E -7.11%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -11.08%E -7.11%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 12:05
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -11.08%E -7.11%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 12:04
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -11.08%E -7.11%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 12:04
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -11.08%E -7.11%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 12:04
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -11.08%E -7.11%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -11.08%E -7.11%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -11.08%E -7.11%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -3.56%E -0.750%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.20%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 12:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -12.22%E -7.94%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -6.61%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -11.47%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 12:04
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -12.22%E -7.94%K -22.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -6.61%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -11.47%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -12.79%E -8.36%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -6.61%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -11.47%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -12.79%E -8.36%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -6.61%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -11.47%E -2.94%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 12:04
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.60%EV -12.79%E -8.36%K -24.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.62%EV -14.73%E -3.51%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -13.74%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-16 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.02%EV -15.64%E -10.57%K -32.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.08%EV -8.64%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%EV -14.87%E -3.97%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-16 12:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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