Language:English
HJK Helsinki v IF Gnistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Prediction 58.23%1.72fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.34%58.17%58.31%60.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.571.571.6867.57%63.51%63.69%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Gnistan (Visit)
Prediction 19.84%5.04fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -0.660%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.74%19.91%19.73%21.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.634.604.9125.00%21.61%21.74%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.93%4.56fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.242%
Kelly -0.310%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.87%21.91%21.96%22.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.114.054.5126.67%24.34%24.69%22.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 58.23%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 19.84%; Draw: 21.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.51, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.67%EV -7.74%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 07:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.86%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.74%EV -2.98%E -0.609%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.40%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.25%EV -7.94%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.47%EV -8.33%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.76%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 08:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -11.18%E -2.76%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -11.18%E -2.76%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-23 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 11:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.02%EV -2.58%E -0.526%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.61%EV -9.42%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 11:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -13.69%E -3.15%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 11:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 06:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 07:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 07:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 09:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 11:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 06:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-23 08:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 09:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -4.76%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 11:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -4.76%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 11:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -20.64%E -5.16%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-23 10:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 09:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.65%EV -9.72%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.54%EV -8.98%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 11:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.02%EV -13.82%E -9.34%K -28.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.08%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%EV -17.76%E -4.74%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-23 06:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 11:55 |