Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

HJK Helsinki v IF Gnistan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 12:00 UTC

Score final : HJK Helsinki 2–3 IF Gnistan

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Prévision 58.23%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -3.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.34%58.17%58.31%60.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.571.571.6867.57%63.51%63.69%59.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IF Gnistan (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.84%5.04cote équitable
EV -2.58%
Avantage -0.526%
Kelly -0.660%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.74%19.91%19.73%21.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.634.604.9125.00%21.61%21.74%20.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.93%4.56cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.242%
Kelly -0.310%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.87%21.91%21.96%22.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.114.054.5126.67%24.34%24.69%22.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : HJK Helsinki (Local) : 58.23% ; IF Gnistan (Visiteur) : 19.84% ; Match nul : 21.93%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.56. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 4.51, pour une espérance de -1.09% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.67%EV -7.74%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 07:25
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.86%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.74%EV -2.98%E -0.609%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.40%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 11:55
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.25%EV -7.94%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.47%EV -8.33%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.76%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 08:10
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 08:25
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -11.18%E -2.76%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -11.18%E -2.76%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:55
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:54
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 11:39
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.02%EV -2.58%E -0.526%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.61%EV -9.42%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 11:10
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:35
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:35
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -13.69%E -3.15%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 06:59
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 07:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 07:00
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 09:46
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:35
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 06:49
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 08:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 08:25
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 08:25
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -4.76%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -4.76%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 11:54
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -20.64%E -5.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 06:50
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 06:50
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 06:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 06:50
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.65%EV -9.72%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.54%EV -8.98%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.02%EV -13.82%E -9.34%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.08%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%EV -17.76%E -4.74%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-23 06:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55