Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HJK Helsinki v IF Gnistan

Início: 2026-08-23 12:00 UTC

Final: HJK Helsinki 2–3 IF Gnistan

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

HJK Helsinki (Local)

Previsão 58.23%1.72odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.34%58.17%58.31%60.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.481.571.571.6867.57%63.51%63.69%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IF Gnistan (Visitante)

Previsão 19.84%5.04odd justa
EV -2.58%
Vantagem -0.526%
Kelly -0.660%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.74%19.91%19.73%21.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.634.604.9125.00%21.61%21.74%20.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.93%4.56odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.242%
Kelly -0.310%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.87%21.91%21.96%22.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.114.054.5126.67%24.34%24.69%22.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: HJK Helsinki (Local): 58.23%; IF Gnistan (Visitante): 19.84%; Empate: 21.93%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.56. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.51, com valor esperado de -1.09%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -2.18%E -1.30%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.67%EV -7.74%E -1.66%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV -4.60%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 07:25
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.86%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.74%EV -2.98%E -0.609%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.40%EV -1.09%E -0.242%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-23 11:55
GTbets🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.28%EV -4.51%E -2.75%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.25%EV -7.94%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.47%EV -8.33%E -1.99%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.33%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.76%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.98%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 08:10
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 08:25
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -11.18%E -2.76%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.56%EV -5.67%E -3.50%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -12.70%E -2.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.62%EV -11.18%E -2.76%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 08:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:55
BetAnything🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:55
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.17%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:54
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 11:39
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.02%EV -2.58%E -0.526%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.61%EV -9.42%E -2.28%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 11:10
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:35
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:35
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -6.84%E -4.27%K -11.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -13.69%E -3.15%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.89%EV -7.42%E -4.67%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.66%EV -6.79%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 06:59
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.15%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 07:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -8.00%E -5.06%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 07:00
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.14%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -6.75%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 09:46
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -5.04%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 11:35
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 06:49
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 08:25
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 08:25
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -8.58%E -5.47%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 08:25
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -5.70%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 09:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -9.16%E -5.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -5.76%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 06:50
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -4.76%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -4.76%E -0.992%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-23 11:54
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -9.75%E -6.29%K -17.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -20.64%E -5.16%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 10:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 06:50
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%EV -10.33%E -6.71%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-23 06:50
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.89%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 06:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -8.73%E -1.90%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -14.47%E -3.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 06:50
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -10.91%E -7.13%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -14.09%E -3.25%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.27%E -3.07%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -2.78%E -0.567%K -0.713%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -3.50%E -0.796%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.81%EV -11.49%E -7.56%K -22.10%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.65%EV -9.72%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.54%EV -8.98%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 11:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.85%EV -12.66%E -8.44%K -25.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.62%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.53%EV -10.08%E -2.46%K -3.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-23 11:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.02%EV -13.82%E -9.34%K -28.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.08%EV -10.72%E -2.38%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%EV -17.76%E -4.74%K -6.46%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-23 06:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55