Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lahti v VPS Vaasa

Kickoff: 2026-05-18 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 1–1 VPS Vaasa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lahti (Local)

Prediction 39.19%2.55fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.973%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.85%39.47%39.13%43.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.282.302.4949.02%43.81%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visit)

Prediction 30.95%3.23fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.646%
Kelly +0.927%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.74%30.76%31.01%33.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.013.003.3037.04%33.20%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.86%3.35fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.631%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.94%29.77%29.86%30.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.123.133.3037.04%32.03%32.00%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Lahti (Local): 39.19%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 30.95%; Draw: 29.86%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -1.45%E -0.440%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -16.92%E -7.98%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 09:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -16.92%E -7.98%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.71%E -8.43%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.71%E -8.43%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 09:10
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.71%E -8.43%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 09:10
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.93%EV -2.42%E -0.973%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%EV -3.44%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.01%EV -3.54%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 14:31
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -20.06%E -9.83%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-18 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -5.91%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 14:35
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 14:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 14:40
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:35
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 20:15
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 14:01
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 14:30
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.84%EV -8.08%E -2.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.92%EV -2.35%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 14:40
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 14:54
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.40%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-18 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 16:15
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 11:50
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.47%EV -15.75%E -7.32%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-18 14:35
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.36%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.19%EV -12.72%E -4.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.45%EV -1.75%E -0.532%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.03%EV -13.79%E -6.27%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -16.44%E -6.09%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -19.37%E -7.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-18 14:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-18 14:40
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-18 14:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-05-18 14:55