La escuela de los momios

FC Lahti v VPS Vaasa

Inicio: 2026-05-18 15:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 1–1 VPS Vaasa

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Predicción 39.19%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.973%
Kelly -1.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.85%39.47%39.13%43.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.042.282.302.4949.02%43.81%43.48%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

VPS Vaasa (Visitante)

Predicción 30.95%3.23momio equitativo
EV +2.13%
Ventaja +0.646%
Kelly +0.927%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.74%30.76%31.01%33.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.013.003.3037.04%33.20%33.33%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.86%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.440%
Kelly -0.631%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.94%29.77%29.86%30.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.123.133.3037.04%32.03%32.00%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -1.45%E -0.440%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:24
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -16.92%E -7.98%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 09:11
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -16.92%E -7.98%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.71%E -8.43%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 09:10
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.71%E -8.43%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 09:10
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.71%E -8.43%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 09:10
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.93%EV -2.42%E -0.973%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%EV -3.44%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.01%EV -3.54%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 14:45
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 14:31
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:29
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:35
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:40
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -20.06%E -9.83%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-18 09:10
Marathon Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -5.91%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 14:35
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 14:55
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 14:40
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:35
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 16:15
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 20:15
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 14:01
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 14:30
GTbets2.41I 41.49%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.84%EV -8.08%E -2.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.92%EV -2.35%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 14:55
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 14:35
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 14:40
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 14:35
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 14:54
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.40%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-18 14:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 16:15
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 11:50
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 14:55
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.47%EV -15.75%E -7.32%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-18 14:35
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.36%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.19%EV -12.72%E -4.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.45%EV -1.75%E -0.532%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.03%EV -13.79%E -6.27%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -16.44%E -6.09%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -19.37%E -7.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-18 14:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-18 14:40
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-18 14:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-05-18 14:55