Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Lahti v VPS Vaasa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 15:00 UTC

Score final : FC Lahti 1–1 VPS Vaasa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Lahti (Local)

Prévision 39.19%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.973%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.85%39.47%39.13%43.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.282.302.4949.02%43.81%43.48%40.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.95%3.23cote équitable
EV +2.13%
Avantage +0.646%
Kelly +0.927%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.74%30.76%31.01%33.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.013.003.3037.04%33.20%33.33%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.86%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.440%
Kelly -0.631%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.94%29.77%29.86%30.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.123.133.3037.04%32.03%32.00%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Lahti (Local) : 39.19% ; VPS Vaasa (Visiteur) : 30.95% ; Match nul : 29.86%. Pour VPS Vaasa (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.23. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.30, soit une espérance positive de +2.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV +2.13%E +0.646%K +0.927%G +0.020%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -1.45%E -0.440%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 17:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -16.14%E -7.54%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -0.963%E -0.301%K -0.438%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 09:10
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -16.92%E -7.98%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 09:11
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.00%EV -16.92%E -7.98%K -15.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.71%E -8.43%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 09:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.71%E -8.43%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 09:10
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -17.71%E -8.43%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.51%E -0.797%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -2.94%E -0.906%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 09:10
Pinnacle🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.93%EV -2.42%E -0.973%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.07%EV -3.44%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.01%EV -3.54%E -1.10%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-18 14:45
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.43%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 14:31
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.84%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -20.06%E -9.83%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -5.61%E -1.84%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-18 09:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -5.91%E -1.95%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.10%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 14:35
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 14:55
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 14:40
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.23%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.64%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 14:35
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 20:15
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 14:01
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.15%E -2.38%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 14:30
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.31%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.84%EV -8.08%E -2.72%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.92%EV -2.35%E -0.718%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 14:40
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -7.91%E -3.37%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 14:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.70%E -2.95%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 17:25
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.73%E -2.83%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 14:54
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -10.25%E -3.53%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%EV -13.40%E -4.62%K -7.05%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-18 14:00
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-15 16:15
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.83%E -5.26%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.87%E -3.77%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 11:50
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -5.95%E -2.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-18 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.47%EV -15.75%E -7.32%K -13.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.80%E -4.14%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-18 14:35
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.36%EV -4.38%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.19%EV -12.72%E -4.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.45%EV -1.75%E -0.532%K -0.764%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.87%E -4.29%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -13.34%E -4.77%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-18 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.03%EV -13.79%E -6.27%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -16.44%E -6.09%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.99%EV -19.37%E -7.17%K -11.39%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-18 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-18 14:40
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.8%2026-05-18 14:36
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.20%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.87%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.93%1.2%2026-05-18 14:55