Language:English
FC Lahti v IFK Mariehamn
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Lahti (Local)
Prediction 61.78%1.62fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.33%61.56%61.68%62.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.511.501.5871.43%66.24%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IFK Mariehamn (Visit)
Prediction 16.11%6.21fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +0.438%
Kelly +0.519%
Growth +0.015%
assuming max odds 6.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.09%16.15%16.16%17.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.535.506.3820.41%18.08%18.18%15.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.10%4.52fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.572%
Kelly -0.740%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.66%22.28%22.15%24.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.034.004.4128.17%24.80%25.00%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Lahti (Local): 61.78%; IFK Mariehamn (Visit): 16.11%; Draw: 22.10%. For IFK Mariehamn (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.12%EV +2.79%E +0.438%K +0.519%G +0.015% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV -4.07%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.63%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.09%EV +2.31%E +0.364%K +0.432%G +0.010% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.28%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -2.52%E -0.417%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -4.94%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.94%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.48%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.94%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.48%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.55%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.55%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -6.55%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -3.85%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -10.41%E -7.18%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -10.41%E -7.18%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.56%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.86%EV -9.13%E -1.62%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.58%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 12:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -9.77%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -9.77%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.15%EV -2.52%E -0.572%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -2.38%E -1.51%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 12:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.90%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -14.61%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 14:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -19.32%E -5.29%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -19.32%E -5.29%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.68%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -18.22%E -4.92%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.68%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -18.22%E -4.92%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -13.50%E -9.64%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.34%EV -9.18%E -6.24%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.50%EV -21.05%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -21.53%E -6.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |