Idioma:Español
FC Lahti v IFK Mariehamn
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Lahti (Local)
Predicción 61.78%1.62momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -4.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.33%61.56%61.68%62.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.511.501.5871.43%66.24%66.67%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
IFK Mariehamn (Visitante)
Predicción 16.11%6.21momio equitativo
EV +2.79%
Ventaja +0.438%
Kelly +0.519%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.09%16.15%16.16%17.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.905.535.506.3820.41%18.08%18.18%15.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.10%4.52momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.572%
Kelly -0.740%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.66%22.28%22.15%24.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.554.034.004.4128.17%24.80%25.00%22.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Lahti (Local): 61.78%; IFK Mariehamn (Visitante): 16.11%; Empate: 22.10%. Para IFK Mariehamn (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.21. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.79%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.12%EV +2.79%E +0.438%K +0.519%G +0.015% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV -4.07%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.63%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.09%EV +2.31%E +0.364%K +0.432%G +0.010% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.28%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-08 11:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -2.52%E -0.417%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -4.94%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 13:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.94%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.48%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.94%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.48%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-08 14:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.55%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.55%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -6.55%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-08 13:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -3.85%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -10.41%E -7.18%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -10.41%E -7.18%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 14:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.56%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.86%EV -9.13%E -1.62%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.58%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-08 12:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -9.77%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -9.77%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.15%EV -2.52%E -0.572%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -2.38%E -1.51%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-08 12:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-08 12:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-08 14:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.90%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-08 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-08 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -14.61%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-08 14:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-08 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -19.32%E -5.29%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -19.32%E -5.29%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.68%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -18.22%E -4.92%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.68%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -18.22%E -4.92%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -13.50%E -9.64%K -33.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.34%EV -9.18%E -6.24%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.50%EV -21.05%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -21.53%E -6.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-09-08 05:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-09-08 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.5% | 2026-09-08 14:35 |