Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Lahti v IFK Mariehamn

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-08 15:00 UTC

Score final : FC Lahti 2–1 IFK Mariehamn

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Lahti (Local)

Prévision 61.78%1.62cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -4.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.33%61.56%61.68%62.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.511.501.5871.43%66.24%66.67%63.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.11%6.21cote équitable
EV +2.79%
Avantage +0.438%
Kelly +0.519%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 6.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.09%16.15%16.16%17.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.905.535.506.3820.41%18.08%18.18%15.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.10%4.52cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.572%
Kelly -0.740%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.66%22.28%22.15%24.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.554.034.004.4128.17%24.80%25.00%22.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Lahti (Local) : 61.78% ; IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur) : 16.11% ; Match nul : 22.10%. Pour IFK Mariehamn (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.21. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.38, soit une espérance positive de +2.79%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.65%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.38I 15.67%NM 15.12%EV +2.79%E +0.438%K +0.519%G +0.015%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.23%EV -4.07%E -0.938%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-08 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.63%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.09%EV +2.31%E +0.364%K +0.432%G +0.010%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.28%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-08 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.62%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.42%EV -2.52%E -0.417%K -0.499%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 14:35
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -4.94%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 13:20
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.94%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.48%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.94%E -0.837%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.48%E -2.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-08 14:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.55%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.20%EV -6.55%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.94%E -5.33%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -6.55%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 13:20
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -4.85%E -3.15%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.47%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -3.85%E -0.885%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-08 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -10.41%E -7.18%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 14:39
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -10.41%E -7.18%K -23.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 14:38
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.56%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.86%EV -9.13%E -1.62%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.58%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 12:49
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -9.77%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 14:54
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -9.77%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.15%EV -2.52%E -0.572%K -0.740%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 14:55
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -2.38%E -1.51%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 05:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 05:50
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 05:50
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 05:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 05:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 05:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 05:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 05:50
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -3.00%E -1.91%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 05:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.51%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.71%EV -6.06%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 12:55
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.99%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.33%EV -4.95%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 14:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.47%E -3.58%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-08 12:55
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-08 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-08 14:40
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.90%E -3.87%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-08 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -14.61%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -9.38%E -2.29%K -3.02%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 14:34
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.32%E -4.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 14:35
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 14:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -8.56%E -5.78%K -17.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -11.59%E -2.90%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-08 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -11.03%E -7.66%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -13.80%E -3.54%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-08 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -19.32%E -5.29%K -7.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-08 05:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.33%EV -6.09%E -4.01%K -11.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.38%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.29%EV -19.32%E -5.29%K -7.29%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-08 05:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.68%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -18.22%E -4.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 05:50
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.68%EV -6.71%E -4.44%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -17.83%E -3.50%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -18.22%E -4.92%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-08 05:50
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -13.50%E -9.64%K -33.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -7.16%E -1.71%K -2.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-09-08 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.34%EV -9.18%E -6.24%K -19.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.50%EV -21.05%E -4.30%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.16%EV -21.53%E -6.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%16.6%2026-09-08 05:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-09-08 14:55
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.5%2026-09-08 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.73%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.5%2026-09-08 14:35