The School of Odds

FC Lahti v HJK Helsinki

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 2–0 HJK Helsinki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Prediction 34.00%2.94fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.669%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.69%33.82%33.98%35.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.772.753.0040%36%36%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

HJK Helsinki (Visit)

Prediction 40.34%2.48fair odd
EV -4.00%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.63%40.40%40.42%42.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.082.252.252.3848%44%44%42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 25.66%3.90fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.654%
Kelly -0.887%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%25.78%25.60%27.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.503.8031%28%29%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:20
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:20
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -12.47%E -5.75%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:20
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -12.47%E -5.75%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:19
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -12.87%E -5.96%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -12.87%E -5.96%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -2.41%E -0.841%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.83%EV -4.40%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 11:55
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -3.09%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.44%E -3.72%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.82%EV -6.85%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 10:54
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -3.09%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.20%EV -16.10%E -7.74%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -16.60%E -5.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-11 08:19
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%EV -4.00%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 09:49
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 11:35
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 11:39
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 11:39
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 08:14
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 09:29
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:35
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:48
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:54
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -7.85%E -2.90%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:55
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:13
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:20
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:14
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 11:49
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:44
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:34
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:34
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 11:14
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 11:44
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 09:29
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 11:44
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:14
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:15
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 11:14
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -13.28%E -6.18%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 11:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.99%E -6.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.28%E -6.18%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-11 10:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:55
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:55