The School of Odds

FC Lahti v HJK Helsinki

2026-07-11 12:00 — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis)

Option 1: FC Lahti (Local)

Odds
2.8535.09%Min
3.1232.04%Mean
3.1332.00%Median
3.3030.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.85%3.590Min
31.17%3.208Max
30.01%3.332Mean
30.27%3.304Median
30.16%3.315IQM
30.04%3.329Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 30.16%

EV -0.461%Edge -0.140%Kelly -0.200%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: HJK Helsinki (Visit)

Odds
1.9152.36%Min
2.0349.18%Mean
2.0249.50%Median
2.1346.95%Max
Consensus probabilities
43.90%2.278Min
46.25%2.162Max
44.70%2.237Mean
44.67%2.239Median
44.70%2.237IQM
44.69%2.238Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.13 under the IQM model: 44.70%

EV -4.79%Edge -2.25%Kelly -4.24%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.5528.14%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.8825.77%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.75%4.210Min
26.99%3.705Max
25.28%3.955Mean
25.07%3.990Median
25.14%3.978IQM
25.27%3.957Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.88 under the IQM model: 25.14%

EV -2.46%Edge -0.634%Kelly -0.854%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFC Lahti (Local) ▼HJK Helsinki (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Casumo3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -0.461% E -0.140% K -0.200% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:20
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -0.461% E -0.140% K -0.200% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:20
TABtouch3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -0.461% E -0.140% K -0.200% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:20
Unibet3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -0.461% E -0.140% K -0.200% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:20
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -0.461% E -0.140% K -0.200% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:20
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -0.461% E -0.140% K -0.200% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:20
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -0.461% E -0.140% K -0.200% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:20
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -0.461% E -0.140% K -0.200% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:20
betPARX3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -0.461% E -0.140% K -0.200% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77% NM 28.16%EV -1.97% E -0.606% K -0.875% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.31%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.53%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 12:20
BetRivers3.25I 30.77% NM 28.16%EV -1.97% E -0.606% K -0.875% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.31%EV -9.71% E -4.81% K -9.52% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.53%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 12:20
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77% NM 27.93%EV -1.97% E -0.606% K -0.875% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 45.38%EV -10.60% E -5.30% K -10.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.69%EV -14.53% E -4.27% K -6.05% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 12:20
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77% NM 27.93%EV -1.97% E -0.606% K -0.875% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 45.38%EV -10.60% E -5.30% K -10.60% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.69%EV -14.53% E -4.27% K -6.05% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 12:20
NordicBet3.20I 31.25% NM 29.10%EV -3.48% E -1.09% K -1.58% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 43.92%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.99%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 11:19
Betsson3.20I 31.25% NM 29.10%EV -3.48% E -1.09% K -1.58% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 43.92%EV -5.24% E -2.47% K -4.68% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.99%EV -13.27% E -3.85% K -5.42% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 11:20
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25% NM 28.77%EV -3.48% E -1.09% K -1.58% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.92%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.31%EV -12.01% E -3.43% K -4.81% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 09:40
1xBet3.16I 31.65% NM 29.65%EV -4.68% E -1.48% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.70%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.65%EV -4.47% E -1.18% K -1.60% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 09:30
Marathon Bet3.16I 31.65% NM 29.51%EV -4.68% E -1.48% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.03I 49.26% NM 45.94%EV -9.26% E -4.56% K -8.99% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.54%EV -4.47% E -1.18% K -1.60% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 09:25
GTbets3.16I 31.65% NM 29.42%EV -4.68% E -1.48% K -2.17% G +0.000%2.01I 49.75% NM 46.25%EV -10.16% E -5.05% K -10.06% G +0.000%3.82I 26.18% NM 24.33%EV -3.97% E -1.04% K -1.41% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 10:40
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75% NM 27.88%EV -4.99% E -1.58% K -2.32% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 45.51%EV -13.73% E -7.12% K -14.77% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.61%EV -17.04% E -5.16% K -7.41% G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-04 12:20
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26% NM 30.73%EV -6.49% E -2.09% K -3.09% G +0.000%2.13I 46.95% NM 44.72%EV -4.79% E -2.25% K -4.24% G +0.000%3.88I 25.77% NM 24.55%EV -2.46% E -0.634% K -0.854% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 09:40
SportsBet3.10I 32.26% NM 29.64%EV -6.49% E -2.09% K -3.09% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.83%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.53%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 09:30
Bet Right3.10I 32.26% NM 29.64%EV -6.49% E -2.09% K -3.09% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.83%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.53%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 09:30
FanDuel3.10I 32.26% NM 29.64%EV -6.49% E -2.09% K -3.09% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.83%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.53%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 09:34
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33% NM 31.17%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.13I 46.95% NM 43.90%EV -4.79% E -2.25% K -4.24% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.93%EV -5.73% E -1.53% K -2.08% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 12:04
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33% NM 31.17%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.13I 46.95% NM 43.90%EV -4.79% E -2.25% K -4.24% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.93%EV -5.73% E -1.53% K -2.08% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 12:05
DraftKings3.00I 33.33% NM 30.97%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.25%EV -6.13% E -2.92% K -5.58% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 24.78%EV -5.73% E -1.53% K -2.08% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 09:25
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33% NM 30.44%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.54%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.02%EV -8.24% E -2.26% K -3.11% G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 11:20
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.33%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.39%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.28%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 10:39
888sport3.00I 33.33% NM 30.33%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.39%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.28%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 09:34
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.33%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.39%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.28%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 09:34
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.33%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.39%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.28%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 09:35
William Hill3.00I 33.33% NM 30.33%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.39%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.28%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 09:35
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33% NM 30.12%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 44.07%EV -8.37% E -4.08% K -7.97% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 25.81%EV -12.01% E -3.43% K -4.81% G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-05 09:29
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33% NM 30.00%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 45.00%EV -10.60% E -5.30% K -10.60% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 09:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.00%EV -9.51% E -3.17% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 45.00%EV -10.60% E -5.30% K -10.60% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.00%EV -9.50% E -2.64% K -3.65% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 09:30
Betway2.90I 34.48% NM 31.12%EV -12.53% E -4.32% K -6.59% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 45.13%EV -10.60% E -5.30% K -10.60% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.75%EV -4.47% E -1.18% K -1.60% G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 09:25
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48% NM 29.71%EV -12.53% E -4.32% K -6.59% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 44.18%EV -12.84% E -6.58% K -13.52% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.11%EV -17.04% E -5.16% K -7.41% G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-05 09:29
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72% NM 30.31%EV -13.13% E -4.56% K -6.98% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 44.76%EV -12.84% E -6.58% K -13.52% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.94%EV -12.01% E -3.43% K -4.81% G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-05 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09% NM 30.03%EV -14.03% E -4.92% K -7.59% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 44.80%EV -14.63% E -7.66% K -16.07% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.17%EV -14.53% E -4.27% K -6.05% G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-05 12:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth