A Escola das Odds

FC Lahti v HJK Helsinki

Início: 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 2–0 HJK Helsinki

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Previsão 34.00%2.94odd justa
EV +2.01%
Vantagem +0.669%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.69%33.82%33.98%35.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.08%36.36%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

HJK Helsinki (Visitante)

Previsão 40.34%2.48odd justa
EV -4.00%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.63%40.40%40.42%42.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.082.252.252.3848.08%44.36%44.44%42.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.66%3.90odd justa
EV -2.48%
Vantagem -0.654%
Kelly -0.887%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.83%25.78%25.60%27.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.523.503.8030.77%28.41%28.57%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:20
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:20
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -12.47%E -5.75%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:20
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -12.47%E -5.75%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:19
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -12.87%E -5.96%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -12.87%E -5.96%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -2.41%E -0.841%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.83%EV -4.40%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 11:55
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -3.09%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.44%E -3.72%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.82%EV -6.85%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 10:54
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -3.09%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.20%EV -16.10%E -7.74%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -16.60%E -5.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-11 08:19
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%EV -4.00%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 09:49
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 11:35
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 11:39
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 11:39
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 08:14
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 09:29
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:35
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:48
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:54
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -7.85%E -2.90%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:55
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:13
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:20
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:14
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 11:49
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:44
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:34
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:34
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 11:14
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 11:44
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 09:29
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 11:44
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:14
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:15
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 11:14
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -13.28%E -6.18%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 11:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.99%E -6.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.28%E -6.18%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-11 10:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:55
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:55