La escuela de los momios

FC Lahti v HJK Helsinki

Inicio: 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC

Final: FC Lahti 2–0 HJK Helsinki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lahti (Local)

Predicción 34.00%2.94momio equitativo
EV +2.01%
Ventaja +0.669%
Kelly +1.00%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.69%33.82%33.98%35.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.753.0040.00%36.08%36.36%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

HJK Helsinki (Visitante)

Predicción 40.34%2.48momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.63%40.40%40.42%42.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.252.252.3848.08%44.36%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.66%3.90momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.654%
Kelly -0.887%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.83%25.78%25.60%27.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.523.503.8030.77%28.41%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:20
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:20
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV +2.01%E +0.669%K +1.00%G +0.020%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -12.07%E -5.54%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -12.47%E -5.75%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:20
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -12.47%E -5.75%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 08:19
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -12.87%E -5.96%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV +0.306%E +0.104%K +0.157%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%EV -12.87%E -5.96%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 08:19
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.71%EV -2.41%E -0.841%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.83%EV -4.40%E -1.86%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-11 11:55
GTbets2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -3.09%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.29%EV -8.44%E -3.72%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.82%EV -6.85%E -1.89%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 10:54
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.80%EV -3.09%E -1.09%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.20%EV -16.10%E -7.74%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -16.60%E -5.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-11 08:19
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -4.11%E -1.46%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.08%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -11.47%E -3.32%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 11:54
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.38%EV -4.00%E -1.68%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.29%EV -2.48%E -0.654%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 09:49
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 11:35
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 11:39
BetAnything2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -4.79%E -1.71%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.66%EV -5.61%E -2.40%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.77%E -1.00%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 11:39
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 08:14
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 09:29
Marathon Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.05%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 11:35
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 11:48
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-11 08:19
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -6.49%E -2.36%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:54
1xBet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.50%EV -7.85%E -2.90%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.30%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:55
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:13
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.77%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 11:20
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 11:14
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -8.90%E -2.51%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 11:49
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 11:34
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:44
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:34
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -8.19%E -3.04%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:34
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -9.89%E -3.73%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 11:14
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-11 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:49
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -10.57%E -4.02%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.26%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-11 11:44
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 09:29
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.75%E -3.75%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-11 11:15
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -10.91%E -4.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 11:44
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.23%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.33%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 11:14
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.62%E -2.12%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 11:15
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 11:14
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -11.59%E -4.46%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -13.28%E -6.18%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -14.03%E -4.19%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-11 11:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.99%E -6.00%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -13.28%E -6.18%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -10.18%E -2.91%K -4.07%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-11 10:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:55
Matchbook2.94I 34.01%NM 33.79%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-07-11 11:55