Language:English
AC Oulu v TPS Turku
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AC Oulu (Local)
Prediction 57.94%1.73fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.76%57.83%57.97%59.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.581.571.6869.44%63.22%63.69%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TPS Turku (Visit)
Prediction 18.18%5.50fair odd
EV +3.44%
Edge +0.605%
Kelly +0.734%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 5.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.93%18.22%18.22%19.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.025.005.6922.22%19.92%20.00%17.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.88%4.19fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -0.996%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.00%23.96%23.81%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.833.854.0630.30%26.11%25.97%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Oulu (Local): 57.94%; TPS Turku (Visit): 18.18%; Draw: 23.88%. For TPS Turku (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.69, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV +3.44%E +0.605%K +0.734%G +0.025% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -1.83%E -0.339%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -2.74%E -0.512%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.30%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.56%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 15:57 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.07%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.18I 19.31%NM 18.27%EV -5.83%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -8.45%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -8.45%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -12.84%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -10.19%E -6.58%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -9.61%E -6.16%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -10.01%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.01%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.45%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -10.92%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.27%EV -12.51%E -8.28%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -10.92%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.63%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.37%EV -12.37%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.00%EV -3.05%E -0.750%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -13.65%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -14.25%E -9.63%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.26%EV -13.65%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.13%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-16 15:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -16.37%E -3.56%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -16.37%E -3.56%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-16 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.89%EV -10.19%E -6.58%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.51%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -16.57%E -11.50%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -21.20%E -6.42%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 22.0% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 0.5% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.16% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.7% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.97% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 16:00 |