L’École des cotes

AC Oulu v TPS Turku

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 16:02 UTC

Score final : AC Oulu 1–0 TPS Turku

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AC Oulu (Local)

Prévision 57.94%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -3.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.76%57.83%57.97%59.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.581.571.6869.44%63.22%63.69%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TPS Turku (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.18%5.50cote équitable
EV +3.44%
Avantage +0.605%
Kelly +0.734%
Croissance +0.025%

avec la cote maximale 5.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.93%18.22%18.22%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.025.005.6922.22%19.92%20.00%17.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.88%4.19cote équitable
EV -3.05%
Avantage -0.750%
Kelly -0.996%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.00%23.96%23.81%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.833.854.0630.30%26.11%25.97%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV +3.44%E +0.605%K +0.734%G +0.025%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:00
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:00
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:59
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -1.83%E -0.339%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -2.74%E -0.512%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.30%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.56%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 15:58
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:57
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:00
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 58.07%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.27%EV -5.83%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -8.45%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:59
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:59
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:59
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -8.45%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 15:59
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -12.84%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:00
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -10.19%E -6.58%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -9.61%E -6.16%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 16:00
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 15:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-16 15:59
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -10.01%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:59
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.01%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 15:59
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.45%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -10.92%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 15:59
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.27%EV -12.51%E -8.28%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -10.92%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 16:00
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.63%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.37%EV -12.37%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.00%EV -3.05%E -0.750%K -0.996%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 15:59
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -13.65%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -14.25%E -9.63%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.26%EV -13.65%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.13%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-16 15:58
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -16.37%E -3.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 15:59
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -16.37%E -3.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 15:59
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.89%EV -10.19%E -6.58%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.51%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -16.57%E -11.50%K -37.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -21.20%E -6.42%K -9.22%G +0.000%22.0%2026-05-16 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.16%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.97%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89%2.1%2026-05-16 16:00