La escuela de los momios

AC Oulu v TPS Turku

Inicio: 2026-05-16 16:02 UTC

Final: AC Oulu 1–0 TPS Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AC Oulu (Local)

Predicción 57.94%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -3.91%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.76%57.83%57.97%59.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.581.571.6869.44%63.22%63.69%59.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TPS Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 18.18%5.50momio equitativo
EV +3.44%
Ventaja +0.605%
Kelly +0.734%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.93%18.22%18.22%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.025.005.6922.22%19.92%20.00%17.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.88%4.19momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -0.750%
Kelly -0.996%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.00%23.96%23.81%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.833.854.0630.30%26.11%25.97%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.93%EV +3.44%E +0.605%K +0.734%G +0.025%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.70%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 15:59
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:00
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 16:00
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.012%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 15:59
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.41%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.27%EV -1.83%E -0.339%K -0.416%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -2.74%E -0.512%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -8.30%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:59
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.56%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 16:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.20%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.48%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.67%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 15:58
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:57
BetUS1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -5.47%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 16:00
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 58.07%EV -5.56%E -3.41%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.27%EV -5.83%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 15:59
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -8.45%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:55
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:59
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.29%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.94%EV -7.28%E -1.43%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -8.06%E -2.09%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:59
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 16:00
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:59
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 15:59
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.10%EV -8.45%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 15:59
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:59
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -12.84%E -3.52%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:00
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 16:00
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -10.19%E -6.58%K -18.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -6.87%E -1.76%K -2.37%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -7.30%E -4.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -14.03%E -3.90%K -5.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 16:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 58.05%EV -9.61%E -6.16%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 16:00
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-16 15:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -13.09%E -8.73%K -26.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -9.10%E -1.82%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-16 15:59
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -2.66%E -1.58%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -10.01%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 15:59
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -4.40%E -2.67%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -10.01%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 15:59
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%EV -8.45%E -5.35%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -10.92%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 15:59
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.27%EV -12.51%E -8.28%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96%EV -10.92%E -2.23%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78%EV -11.64%E -3.15%K -4.31%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 16:00
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.63%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.37%EV -12.37%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.00%EV -3.05%E -0.750%K -0.996%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 15:59
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -6.14%E -3.79%K -9.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.48%E -1.12%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:00
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.91%EV -11.35%E -7.42%K -21.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -12.74%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-16 16:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.72%E -4.17%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -13.65%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.61%EV -14.25%E -9.63%K -29.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.26%EV -13.65%E -2.87%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.13%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-16 15:58
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -16.37%E -3.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 15:59
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -16.37%E -3.56%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.03%E -5.75%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.26%E -2.44%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-16 15:59
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.89%EV -10.19%E -6.58%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.60%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.51%EV -10.45%E -2.79%K -3.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -16.57%E -11.50%K -37.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -18.19%E -4.04%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -21.20%E -6.42%K -9.22%G +0.000%22.0%2026-05-16 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.86%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%0.5%2026-05-16 16:00
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%NM 58.16%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.87%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-05-16 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.97%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.89%2.1%2026-05-16 16:00