Language:English
AC Oulu v IF Gnistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AC Oulu (Local)
Prediction 39.02%2.56fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.77%39.04%39.05%40.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.4846.51%42.75%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Gnistan (Visit)
Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.12%34.27%34.32%34.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.712.702.8540.00%36.94%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -0.145%
Edge -0.039%
Kelly -0.053%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.37%26.69%26.63%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.7531.25%29.44%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Oulu (Local): 39.02%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 34.35%; Draw: 26.63%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.145%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.32%EV -3.12%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -3.34%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.33%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| BetAnything | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.53%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.18%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.82%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -0.145%E -0.039%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 13:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 13:44 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.04%EV -6.75%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 13:44 |
| betano_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.53%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.53%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| GTbets | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -9.09%E -3.90%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -5.20%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-18 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.21%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -12.40%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-07-18 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -16.11%E -7.49%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-07-18 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 0.8% | 2026-07-18 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 13:55 |