The School of Odds

AC Oulu v IF Gnistan

2026-07-18 14:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

AC Oulu (Local)

Prediction 42.53%2.35fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.11%42.75%42.49%44.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.972.132.102.2651%47%48%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

IF Gnistan (Visit)

Prediction 31.41%3.18fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.338%
Kelly -0.495%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.63%31.25%31.55%32.42%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.752.982.953.1536%34%34%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.06%3.84fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.608%
Kelly -0.829%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.00%25.96%26.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.473.453.7531%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.17%EV -3.88%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.42%EV -7.66%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -2.28%E -0.608%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 17:59
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -4.73%E -2.11%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.86%EV -7.66%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.31%EV -7.23%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 18:54
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.99%EV -5.58%E -2.51%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.82%EV -7.97%E -2.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.23%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 18:49
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 41.98%EV -5.58%E -2.51%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 18:29
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 41.98%EV -5.58%E -2.51%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 18:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 18:09
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 18:09
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 18:09
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.54%E -3.31%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-11 18:10
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:59
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -6.43%E -2.92%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.55%E -3.98%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -5.77%E -1.92%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 18:04
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -9.83%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -1.06%E -0.338%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 18:49
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.05%EV -9.83%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -1.06%E -0.338%K -0.495%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-11 18:50
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -9.83%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -7.35%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 18:14
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.79%EV -9.83%E -4.64%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 18:04
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:49
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:49
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:49
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:49
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:49
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:50
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:49
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:50
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:49
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.74%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 18:49
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -7.35%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 18:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.92%E -3.07%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 18:14
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.68%E -5.09%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 17:54
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -11.53%E -5.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 18:49
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.60%EV -11.53%E -5.54%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -4.20%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-11 18:49
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.32%EV -12.81%E -6.25%K -12.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.98%EV -12.06%E -4.31%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -15.31%E -4.71%K -6.80%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-11 18:10
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.54%EV -14.08%E -6.97%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.81%EV -7.35%E -2.49%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -14.01%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 18:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -14.93%E -7.47%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -2.63%E -0.850%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -8.80%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 16:17
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 42.88%EV -16.21%E -8.23%K -16.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.72%EV -13.63%E -4.96%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.40%EV -16.61%E -5.19%K -7.55%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-11 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.