L’École des cotes

AC Oulu v IF Gnistan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-18 13:59 UTC

Score final : AC Oulu 0–2 IF Gnistan

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AC Oulu (Local)

Prévision 39.02%2.56cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.77%39.04%39.05%40.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.352.4846.51%42.75%42.55%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Gnistan (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.35%2.91cote équitable
EV -2.09%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.12%34.27%34.32%34.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.712.702.8540.00%36.94%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.63%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.145%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.053%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.37%26.69%26.63%27.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.403.403.7531.25%29.44%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.32%EV -3.12%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -3.34%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 13:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.33%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 13:45
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 13:45
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.53%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 13:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Coolbet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.18%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.82%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -0.145%E -0.039%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 13:10
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 12:45
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 13:45
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:44
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:45
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.04%EV -6.75%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 13:40
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:40
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:44
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:45
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 13:40
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.53%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.53%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 13:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 13:15
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 13:45
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 13:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 13:15
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:45
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 13:40
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -9.09%E -3.90%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -5.20%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 13:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 13:15
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 13:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 13:15
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 13:15
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:45
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 12:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 13:15
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:45
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.21%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -12.40%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-18 13:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -16.11%E -7.49%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-18 13:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-18 13:55
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-18 13:55