La escuela de los momios

AC Oulu v IF Gnistan

Inicio: 2026-07-18 13:59 UTC

Final: AC Oulu 0–2 IF Gnistan

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

AC Oulu (Local)

Predicción 39.02%2.56momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.77%39.04%39.05%40.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.352.4846.51%42.75%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Gnistan (Visitante)

Predicción 34.35%2.91momio equitativo
EV -2.09%
Ventaja -0.734%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.12%34.27%34.32%34.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.702.8540.00%36.94%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.63%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.145%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.37%26.69%26.63%27.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.403.403.7531.25%29.44%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.32%EV -3.12%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -3.34%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-18 13:55
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.21%EV -3.23%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.33%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 13:45
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 13:45
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 38.04%EV -4.01%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.53%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.44%EV -9.20%E -2.70%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-18 13:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -4.40%E -1.80%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-18 13:55
Coolbet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -5.18%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.82%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -0.145%E -0.039%K -0.053%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 13:10
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 12:45
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 13:45
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:44
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:45
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -6.35%E -2.65%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:40
Marathon Bet2.39I 41.84%NM 39.04%EV -6.75%E -2.82%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 13:40
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:40
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.09%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -7.93%E -2.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:44
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:45
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -7.14%E -3.00%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 13:40
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.53%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -7.53%E -3.18%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-18 13:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 13:15
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 13:45
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 13:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-18 13:15
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:45
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -8.31%E -3.53%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 13:40
GTbets2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -9.09%E -3.90%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.79%EV -5.18%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -5.20%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 13:45
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 13:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-18 13:15
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 13:40
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.96%E -3.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 13:15
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.26%E -4.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-18 13:15
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:45
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 40.15%EV -11.04%E -4.84%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -2.09%E -0.734%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 12:40
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 12:40
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-18 12:40
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.99%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-18 13:15
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -12.21%E -5.43%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -10.68%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 13:45
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 12:40
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.21%EV -14.16%E -6.44%K -11.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.83%EV -12.40%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-18 13:45
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -16.11%E -7.49%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -9.47%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-18 13:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.75%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-07-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-18 13:55
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.25%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.10%1.1%2026-07-18 13:55