La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Sweden v Poland
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Sweden (Casa)
Previsione 47.23%2.12quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.849%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.08
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.06%47.31%47.23%48.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.992.002.0853.19%50.33%50.00%48.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Poland (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.71%4.05quota equa
EV +1.31%
Vantaggio +0.319%
Kelly +0.423%
Crescita +0.006%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.65%24.68%24.73%25.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.753.754.1028.57%26.66%26.67%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 28.06%3.56quota equa
EV -0.659%
Vantaggio -0.186%
Kelly -0.259%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.71%28.01%28.04%28.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.313.303.5432.26%30.21%30.30%28.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.24%EV -5.07%E -2.52%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.31%E +0.319%K +0.423%G +0.006% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 14:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.33%EV -1.77%E -0.849%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.86%EV -2.15%E -0.543%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.81%EV -0.659%E -0.186%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.60%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.40%E -0.607%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.60%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.40%E -0.607%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.29%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.86%EV -2.34%E -0.673%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -4.60%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.86%EV -5.36%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.11%EV -4.60%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.91%EV -5.61%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.49%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -6.83%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -9.32%E -4.86%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.78%E -0.509%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 15:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 14:05 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 14:44 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 16:43 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -10.27%E -5.40%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 17:13 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -6.49%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.35%EV -11.21%E -5.96%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -11.60%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-27 17:23 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 13:19 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:14 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| ReBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.96%E -3.53%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.72%EV -11.32%E -3.58%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-27 14:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |