L’École des cotesSweden v Poland
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sweden (Local)
Prévision 47.23%2.12cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.849%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.06%47.31%47.23%48.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.881.992.002.0853.19%50.33%50.00%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Poland (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.71%4.05cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.319%
Kelly +0.423%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.65%24.68%24.73%25.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.753.754.1028.57%26.66%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV -0.659%
Avantage -0.186%
Kelly -0.259%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.54
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.71%28.01%28.04%28.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.313.303.5432.26%30.21%30.30%28.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.24%EV -5.07%E -2.52%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.31%E +0.319%K +0.423%G +0.006% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 14:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.33%EV -1.77%E -0.849%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.86%EV -2.15%E -0.543%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.81%EV -0.659%E -0.186%K -0.259%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.60%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.40%E -0.607%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -4.60%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.19%EV -2.40%E -0.607%K -0.812%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.52%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.29%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -3.63%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.86%EV -2.34%E -0.673%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 02:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.14%EV -4.60%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.86%EV -5.36%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 22:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.11%EV -4.60%E -2.28%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.91%EV -5.61%E -1.47%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 16:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-27 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -6.49%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.17%EV -6.83%E -2.06%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-27 18:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.69%EV -9.32%E -4.86%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.78%E -0.509%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-27 15:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.10%E -1.61%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-27 14:05 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -4.59%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-27 14:44 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.99%E -1.79%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-27 16:43 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -10.27%E -5.40%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -3.18%E -0.923%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.34%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 17:13 |
| PlayUp | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-27 15:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.57%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-27 17:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -6.49%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -10.20%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-27 15:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.35%EV -11.21%E -5.96%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -9.81%E -2.69%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -11.60%E -3.68%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-27 17:23 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.39%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-27 13:19 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:14 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -5.54%E -2.77%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 15:30 |
| ReBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.96%E -3.53%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -11.04%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 28.72%EV -11.32%E -3.58%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-27 17:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -13.52%E -3.86%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-27 14:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.82% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-03-27 23:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17% | 2.9% | 2026-03-27 22:15 |