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Australia v Jordan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Australia (Local)
Prediction 70.04%1.43fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -10.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.70%70.01%70.13%71.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3776.92%74.68%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jordan (Visit)
Prediction 11.72%8.53fair odd
EV +11.37%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.152%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.26%11.68%11.70%13.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.987.509.5014.81%12.52%13.33%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.24%5.48fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.343%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.34%18.30%18.17%19.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.075.195.4021.05%19.74%19.27%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Australia (Local): 70.04%; Jordan (Visit): 11.72%; Draw: 18.24%. For Jordan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.53. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.17%EV -4.05%E -2.95%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +11.37%E +1.20%K +1.34%G +0.152% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-23 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.24%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.31%EV +10.20%E +1.08%K +1.21%G +0.124% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.45%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +5.51%E +0.612%K +0.689%G +0.038% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 11:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.51%E +0.612%K +0.689%G +0.038% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.10%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.99%EV +3.16%E +0.360%K +0.406%G +0.013% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.91%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 16:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.353%E -0.042%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 15:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.95%E -6.88%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -0.353%E -0.042%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 14:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.78%EV -6.15%E -4.59%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV -3.28%E -0.398%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.73%EV -2.42%E -0.453%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.21%E -0.777%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 09:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.55%E -5.72%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.21%E -0.777%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 14:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.76%EV -6.92%E -0.871%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.00%EV -5.34%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 11:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 22:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -12.45%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 06:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -15.01%E -2.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -5.16%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -15.01%E -2.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -5.16%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -20.87%E -3.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.15% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.63% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 07:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.39% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |