La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Australia v Jordan
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Australia (Casa)
Previsione 70.04%1.43quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -2.95%
Kelly -10.94%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.37
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.70%70.01%70.13%71.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.341.331.3776.92%74.68%75.19%72.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jordan (Trasferta)
Previsione 11.72%8.53quota equa
EV +11.37%
Vantaggio +1.20%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.152%
ipotizzando la quota massima 9.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.26%11.68%11.70%13.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.757.987.509.5014.81%12.52%13.33%10.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 18.24%5.48quota equa
EV -1.51%
Vantaggio -0.280%
Kelly -0.343%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.34%18.30%18.17%19.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.075.195.4021.05%19.74%19.27%18.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.17%EV -4.05%E -2.95%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +11.37%E +1.20%K +1.34%G +0.152% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-23 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.24%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.31%EV +10.20%E +1.08%K +1.21%G +0.124% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.45%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| TAB | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +5.51%E +0.612%K +0.689%G +0.038% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-02 11:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.51%E +0.612%K +0.689%G +0.038% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-19 14:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.10%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.99%EV +3.16%E +0.360%K +0.406%G +0.013% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.91%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.353%E -0.042%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 15:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.95%E -6.88%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -0.353%E -0.042%K -0.047%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-19 14:58 |
| Bovada | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.78%EV -6.15%E -4.59%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV -3.28%E -0.398%K -0.453%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.73%EV -2.42%E -0.453%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-02 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.21%E -0.777%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 09:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.55%E -5.72%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.21%E -0.777%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.343%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 14:58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.94I 12.59%NM 11.76%EV -6.92%E -0.871%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 5.19I 19.27%NM 18.00%EV -5.34%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-02 11:55 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
| Betway | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-02 22:44 |
| William Hill | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Everygame | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -12.45%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-03 06:20 |
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -15.01%E -2.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -5.16%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -15.01%E -2.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -5.16%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-01 14:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -20.87%E -3.09%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-01 13:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61% | 3.2% | 2026-04-06 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.15% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.63% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 07:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.39% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.07% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |