默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Australia v Jordan

开赛时间: 2026-06-17 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Australia (主队)

预测 70.04%1.43公平赔率
EV -4.05%
优势 -2.95%
Kelly -10.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.37

博彩公司预测分布
67.70%70.01%70.13%71.24%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.341.331.3776.92%74.68%75.19%72.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

Jordan (客队)

预测 11.72%8.53公平赔率
EV +11.37%
优势 +1.20%
Kelly +1.34%
增长率 +0.152%

假设最高赔率为 9.50

博彩公司预测分布
10.26%11.68%11.70%13.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.757.987.509.5014.81%12.52%13.33%10.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 18.24%5.48公平赔率
EV -1.51%
优势 -0.280%
Kelly -0.343%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.40

博彩公司预测分布
17.34%18.30%18.17%19.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.075.195.4021.05%19.74%19.27%18.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Australia (主队):70.04%;Jordan (客队):11.72%;平局:18.24%。 对于“Jordan (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.53。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为9.50,对应+11.37%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.17%EV -4.05%E -2.95%K -10.94%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +11.37%E +1.20%K +1.34%G +0.152%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.57%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-23 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.24%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.31%EV +10.20%E +1.08%K +1.21%G +0.124%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.45%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 17:44
TAB🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV +5.51%E +0.612%K +0.689%G +0.038%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 11:54
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +5.51%E +0.612%K +0.689%G +0.038%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.10%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.99%EV +3.16%E +0.360%K +0.406%G +0.013%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.91%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.343%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.353%E -0.042%K -0.047%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.95%E -6.88%K -29.83%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -0.353%E -0.042%K -0.047%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 14:58
Bovada🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.78%EV -6.15%E -4.59%K -18.09%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.50%EV -3.28%E -0.398%K -0.453%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.73%EV -2.42%E -0.453%K -0.557%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.21%E -0.777%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 09:49
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.55%E -5.72%K -23.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -6.21%E -0.777%K -0.888%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.343%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 14:58
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.24%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.94I 12.59%NM 11.76%EV -6.92%E -0.871%K -0.997%G +0.000%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.00%EV -5.34%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 11:55
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -4.75%E -3.49%K -13.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 13:59
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -0.999%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 22:44
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.30%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-20 05:35
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -12.45%E -2.59%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-03 06:20
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -12.08%E -1.61%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -15.01%E -2.07%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -5.16%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 14:00
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -5.45%E -4.04%K -15.57%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -15.01%E -2.07%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -5.16%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.70%EV -6.85%E -5.15%K -20.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.34%EV -20.87%E -3.09%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-01 13:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61%3.2%2026-04-06 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61%3.2%2026-04-06 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 72.30%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.09%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.61%3.2%2026-04-06 02:05
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.15%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.63%7.0%2026-04-06 07:05
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 70.39%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.07%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%10.1%2026-04-01 00:05