The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Tadley Calleva FC v Dartford FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tadley Calleva FC (Local)

Prediction 11.89%8.41fair odd
EV +10.60%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.135%

assuming max odds 9.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.24%11.90%11.98%13.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.387.009.3014.29%13.55%14.29%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dartford FC (Visit)

Prediction 70.86%1.41fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -4.33%
Kelly -17.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.69%71.06%70.81%74.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.251.3380.65%78.67%80.00%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.25%5.80fair odd
EV +12.13%
Edge +1.87%
Kelly +2.21%
Growth +0.268%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.15%17.04%17.22%18.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.545.756.5021.05%18.04%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tadley Calleva FC (Local): 11.89%; Dartford FC (Visit): 70.86%; Draw: 17.25%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.80. 12 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +12.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.58%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +12.13%E +1.87%K +2.21%G +0.268%8.7%2026-10-03 11:10
1xBet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.24%EV +10.60%E +1.14%K +1.28%G +0.135%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.42%EV -9.30%E -7.27%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.34%EV +7.13%E +1.15%K +1.37%G +0.098%5.0%2026-10-03 12:21
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.84%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.28%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -0.807%E -0.140%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 11:09
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -0.807%E -0.140%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 11:08
Winamax (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.12%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -7.24%E -0.928%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.74%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.85%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.04%EV -3.67%E -0.454%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.10%EV -12.14%E -9.79%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -8.57%E -1.62%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.59%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 12:15
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 12:11
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 12:18
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.69%EV -8.59%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -18.06%E -3.80%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.