默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tadley Calleva FC v Dartford FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

胜负盘

26 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Tadley Calleva FC (主队)

预测 11.89%8.41公平赔率
EV +10.60%
优势 +1.14%
Kelly +1.28%
增长率 +0.135%

假设最高赔率为 9.30

博彩公司预测分布
10.24%11.90%11.98%13.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.387.009.3014.29%13.55%14.29%10.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Dartford FC (客队)

预测 70.86%1.41公平赔率
EV -5.76%
优势 -4.33%
Kelly -17.46%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
68.69%71.06%70.81%74.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.271.251.3380.65%78.67%80.00%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 17.25%5.80公平赔率
EV +12.13%
优势 +1.87%
Kelly +2.21%
增长率 +0.268%

假设最高赔率为 6.50

博彩公司预测分布
14.15%17.04%17.22%18.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.755.545.756.5021.05%18.04%17.39%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Tadley Calleva FC (主队):11.89%;Dartford FC (客队):70.86%;平局:17.25%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.80。 有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为6.50,由此产生+12.13%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.58%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +12.13%E +1.87%K +2.21%G +0.268%8.7%2026-10-03 11:10
1xBet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.24%EV +10.60%E +1.14%K +1.28%G +0.135%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.42%EV -9.30%E -7.27%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.34%EV +7.13%E +1.15%K +1.37%G +0.098%5.0%2026-10-03 12:21
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.84%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.28%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -0.807%E -0.140%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 11:09
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -0.807%E -0.140%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 11:08
Winamax (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.12%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -7.24%E -0.928%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.74%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.85%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.04%EV -3.67%E -0.454%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.10%EV -12.14%E -9.79%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -8.57%E -1.62%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.59%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 12:15
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 12:11
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 12:18
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.69%EV -8.59%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -18.06%E -3.80%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-03 11:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。