Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tadley Calleva FC v Dartford FC

2026-10-03 14:00 UTC — FA Cup

Testa a testa

26 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Tadley Calleva FC (Casa)

Previsione 11.89%8.41quota equa
EV +10.60%
Vantaggio +1.14%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.135%

ipotizzando la quota massima 9.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
10.24%11.90%11.98%13.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
7.007.387.009.3014.29%13.55%14.29%10.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Dartford FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.86%1.41quota equa
EV -5.76%
Vantaggio -4.33%
Kelly -17.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.69%71.06%70.81%74.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.271.251.3380.65%78.67%80.00%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 17.25%5.80quota equa
EV +12.13%
Vantaggio +1.87%
Kelly +2.21%
Crescita +0.268%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.15%17.04%17.22%18.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.545.756.5021.05%18.04%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Tadley Calleva FC (Casa): 11.89%; Dartford FC (Trasferta): 70.86%; Pareggio: 17.25%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 5.80. 12 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 6.50, con un valore atteso positivo del +12.13%.

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.58%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +12.13%E +1.87%K +2.21%G +0.268%8.7%2026-10-03 11:10
1xBet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.24%EV +10.60%E +1.14%K +1.28%G +0.135%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.42%EV -9.30%E -7.27%K -33.23%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.34%EV +7.13%E +1.15%K +1.37%G +0.098%5.0%2026-10-03 12:21
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
TABtouch🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.81%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.73%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.46%EV +0.055%E +0.010%K +0.011%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-03 11:10
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -7.84%E -1.01%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.28%EV -5.76%E -4.33%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.49%EV -0.807%E -0.140%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 11:09
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.02%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -0.807%E -0.140%K -0.170%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 11:08
Winamax (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -5.12%E -0.931%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-03 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.97%EV -7.24%E -0.928%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.74%EV -6.47%E -4.90%K -20.22%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -6.85%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯8.10I 12.35%NM 11.04%EV -3.67%E -0.454%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.10%EV -12.14%E -9.79%K -50.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.87%EV -8.57%E -1.62%K -1.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-03 11:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.89%E -6.07%K -26.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.43%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -10.81%E -1.44%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -8.59%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-03 11:10
betano_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 12:15
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 12:11
Bet Victor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -4.86%E -0.608%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.11%EV -11.43%E -9.14%K -45.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -13.75%E -2.75%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-03 12:18
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.66%EV -16.75%E -2.39%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.69%EV -8.59%E -6.66%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -18.06%E -3.80%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-03 11:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.