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Swindon Supermarine FC v Winslow United FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Swindon Supermarine FC (Local)
Prediction 56.23%1.78fair odd
EV -4.97%
Edge -2.94%
Kelly -7.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.48%55.97%56.23%56.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.611.6963.69%61.37%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Winslow United FC (Visit)
Prediction 21.93%4.56fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.799%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.85%22.25%21.93%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.104.004.4026.67%24.36%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.84%4.58fair odd
EV +0.480%
Edge +0.104%
Kelly +0.133%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.74%21.78%21.84%23.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.134.004.6026.67%24.23%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Swindon Supermarine FC (Local): 56.23%; Winslow United FC (Visit): 21.93%; Draw: 21.84%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.480%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.38%E -3.39%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV +0.480%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 7.3% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -17.77%E -4.74%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV +0.480%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.37%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 23.93%EV -14.26%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -1.27%E -0.280%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 18:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-07 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-07 18:43 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.61%EV -10.60%E -6.66%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-07 15:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-07 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.81%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-07 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.79%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -18.09%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-07 15:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.