默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Swindon Supermarine FC v Winslow United FC

开赛时间： 2026-09-07 18:46 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

56%

22%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Swindon Supermarine FC (主队)

预测 56.23%1.78公平赔率

EV -4.97%

优势 -2.94%

Kelly -7.21%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布

54.48%55.97%56.23%56.71%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.571.631.611.6963.69%61.37%62.11%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Winslow United FC (客队)

预测 21.93%4.56公平赔率

EV -3.52%

优势 -0.799%

Kelly -1.03%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.40

博彩公司预测分布

20.85%22.25%21.93%24.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.754.104.004.4026.67%24.36%25.00%22.73%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.84%4.58公平赔率

EV +0.480%

优势 +0.104%

Kelly +0.133%

增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布

19.74%21.78%21.84%23.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.754.134.004.6026.67%24.23%25.00%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Swindon Supermarine FC (主队)：56.23%；Winslow United FC (客队)：21.93%；平局：21.84%。对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.58。当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.60，对应+0.480%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队	平局 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Codere (IT)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.38%E -3.39%K -4.54%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV +0.480%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001%	7.3%	2026-09-07 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -17.77%E -4.74%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV +0.480%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001%	10.1%	2026-09-07 15:04
1xBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.37%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.91I 25.58%NM 23.93%EV -14.26%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -1.27%E -0.280%K -0.360%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-07 18:44
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-07 15:05
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-07 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-07 15:05
Neds🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-07 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-07 15:04
Bovada🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-07 18:43
Marathon Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 56.61%EV -10.60%E -6.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-09-07 15:25
Unibet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Casumo🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
TABtouch🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Grosvenor🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
betPARX🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.81%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-09-07 18:15
betfred_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 55.79%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -18.09%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-09-07 15:05

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。