預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Swindon Supermarine FC v Winslow United FC

開賽時間： 2026-09-07 18:46 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

23 家博彩公司 (4 家納入分析 )

56%

22%

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Swindon Supermarine FC (主隊)

預測 56.23%1.78公平賠率

EV -4.97%

優勢 -2.94%

Kelly -7.21%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.69

博彩公司預測分布

54.48%55.97%56.23%56.71%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

1.571.631.611.6963.69%61.37%62.11%59.17%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Winslow United FC (客隊)

預測 21.93%4.56公平賠率

EV -3.52%

優勢 -0.799%

Kelly -1.03%

成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.40

博彩公司預測分布

20.85%22.25%21.93%24.21%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.754.104.004.4026.67%24.36%25.00%22.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 21.84%4.58公平賠率

EV +0.480%

優勢 +0.104%

Kelly +0.133%

成長率 +0.001%

假設最高賠率為 4.60

博彩公司預測分布

19.74%21.78%21.84%23.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值

賠率分布

3.754.134.004.6026.67%24.23%25.00%21.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Swindon Supermarine FC (主隊)：56.23%；Winslow United FC (客隊)：21.93%；和局：21.84%。對於「和局」，該估計相當於4.58的公平十進位賠率。當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.60，對應+0.480%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (23 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司	主隊	客隊	和局 ▼	利潤率	更新時間
Codere (IT)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.14%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.38%E -3.39%K -4.54%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV +0.480%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001%	7.3%	2026-09-07 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -17.77%E -4.74%K -6.46%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV +0.480%E +0.104%K +0.133%G +0.001%	10.1%	2026-09-07 15:04
1xBet🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.37%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%	3.91I 25.58%NM 23.93%EV -14.26%E -3.65%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.52I 22.12%NM 20.70%EV -1.27%E -0.280%K -0.360%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-07 18:44
BetMGM🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-07 15:05
Coral🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.65%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.85%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-09-07 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-07 15:05
Neds🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-07 15:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-07 15:04
Bovada🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 56.71%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.16%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -3.52%E -0.799%K -1.03%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.26%E -1.97%K -2.58%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-09-07 18:43
Marathon Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 56.61%EV -10.60%E -6.66%K -17.96%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -10.44%E -2.55%K -3.37%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-09-07 15:25
Unibet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Casumo🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
TABtouch🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Grosvenor🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
betPARX🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -12.63%E -3.16%K -4.21%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-09-07 18:05
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -12.29%E -3.07%K -4.10%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -14.81%E -3.80%K -5.11%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-09-07 18:15
betfred_uk🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 55.79%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.56%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -7.90%E -1.88%K -2.47%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -18.09%E -4.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%	14.2%	2026-09-07 15:05

利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。