A Escola das Odds

Leeds United v Norwich City

Início: 2026-03-08 16:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Leeds United (Local)

Previsão 59.27%1.69odd justa
EV -2.20%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -3.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.27%59.31%59.32%61.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.64%63.69%60.61%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Norwich City (Visitante)

Previsão 18.39%5.44odd justa
EV +6.64%
Vantagem +1.15%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.092%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.64%18.40%18.34%19.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.195.105.8022.22%19.28%19.61%17.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.34%4.48odd justa
EV +3.22%
Vantagem +0.696%
Kelly +0.888%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.62

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.02%22.30%22.34%24.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.204.204.6228.57%23.80%23.81%21.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +6.64%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.092%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 16:25
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +6.64%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.092%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 16:24
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.13%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 17.08%EV +5.54%E +0.965%K +1.17%G +0.065%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-08 16:09
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.85%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.13%EV +4.25%E +0.750%K +0.911%G +0.039%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.02%EV +3.22%E +0.696%K +0.888%G +0.029%3.0%2026-03-08 16:25
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:25
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:24
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:24
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV -0.583%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 16:25
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 16:24
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:25
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:24
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -10.50%E -6.95%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 16:25
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 16:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 16:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 16:25
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 16:20
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 16:20
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 16:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:14
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.39%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.39%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:25
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -6.23%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:24
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 16:24
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 16:25
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:19
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 16:25
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 16:24
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:25
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:24
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 16:04
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.45%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV +0.534%E +0.119%K +0.153%G +0.001%5.1%2026-03-08 16:25
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 16:23
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -10.82%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 16:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 15:55
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:54
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:55
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -13.58%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.26%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.81%E -6.23%K -8.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-08 16:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-03-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-03-08 16:25
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-03-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-03-08 16:25
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-03-08 16:25
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.19%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-03-08 16:25