L’École des cotesFrançais
Leeds United v Norwich City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Leeds United (Local)
Prévision 59.27%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -3.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.65
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.27%59.31%59.32%61.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.64%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Norwich City (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.39%5.44cote équitable
EV +6.64%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.092%
avec la cote maximale 5.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.64%18.40%18.34%19.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.195.105.8022.22%19.28%19.61%17.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.34%4.48cote équitable
EV +3.22%
Avantage +0.696%
Kelly +0.888%
Croissance +0.029%
avec la cote maximale 4.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.02%22.30%22.34%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.204.204.6228.57%23.80%23.81%21.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +6.64%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.092% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +6.64%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.092% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.13%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 17.08%EV +5.54%E +0.965%K +1.17%G +0.065% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 16:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.85%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 17.13%EV +4.25%E +0.750%K +0.911%G +0.039% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 21.02%EV +3.22%E +0.696%K +0.888%G +0.029% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV -0.583%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -10.50%E -6.95%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.39%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.39%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -6.23%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 16:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.45%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV +0.534%E +0.119%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 16:23 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -10.82%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 15:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -13.58%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.26%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.81%E -6.23%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-08 16:19 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |