مدرسة الاحتمالات

Leeds United v Norwich City

البداية: 2026-03-08 16:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Leeds United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 59.27%1.69السعر العادل
EV -2.20%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -3.39%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.27%59.31%59.32%61.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.64%63.69%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Norwich City (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.39%5.44السعر العادل
EV +6.64%
الأفضلية +1.15%
Kelly +1.38%
النمو +0.092%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.64%18.40%18.34%19.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.195.105.8022.22%19.28%19.61%17.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.34%4.48السعر العادل
EV +3.22%
الأفضلية +0.696%
Kelly +0.888%
النمو +0.029%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.02%22.30%22.34%24.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.204.204.6228.57%23.80%23.81%21.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +6.64%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.092%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 16:25
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +6.64%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.092%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 16:24
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 60.13%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 17.08%EV +5.54%E +0.965%K +1.17%G +0.065%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.0%2026-03-08 16:09
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.85%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.13%EV +4.25%E +0.750%K +0.911%G +0.039%4.62I 21.65%NM 21.02%EV +3.22%E +0.696%K +0.888%G +0.029%3.0%2026-03-08 16:25
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:25
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:24
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:24
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV -0.583%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 16:25
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 16:24
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:25
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:24
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -10.50%E -6.95%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 16:25
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 16:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 16:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 16:25
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 16:20
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 16:20
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 16:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 16:14
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.39%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:25
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.39%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:25
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -6.23%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 16:24
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 16:24
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 16:25
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:19
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 16:25
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 16:24
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:25
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:24
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 16:04
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.45%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV +0.534%E +0.119%K +0.153%G +0.001%5.1%2026-03-08 16:25
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 16:23
Fliff1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -10.82%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 16:24
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 15:55
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:54
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 15:55
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -13.58%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.26%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.81%E -6.23%K -8.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-08 16:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58%0.7%2026-03-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56%0.7%2026-03-08 16:25
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%1.1%2026-03-08 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-03-08 16:25
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%1.1%2026-03-08 16:25
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 61.19%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-03-08 16:25