La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Leeds United v Norwich City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leeds United (Local)
Predicción 59.27%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.33%
Kelly -3.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%59.31%59.32%61.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6566.67%63.64%63.69%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Norwich City (Visitante)
Predicción 18.39%5.44momio equitativo
EV +6.64%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.092%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.64%18.40%18.34%19.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.195.105.8022.22%19.28%19.61%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.34%4.48momio equitativo
EV +3.22%
Ventaja +0.696%
Kelly +0.888%
Crecimiento +0.029%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.02%22.30%22.34%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.204.204.6228.57%23.80%23.81%21.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +6.64%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.092% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.99%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.83%EV +6.64%E +1.15%K +1.38%G +0.092% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.13%EV -3.39%E -2.08%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 17.08%EV +5.54%E +0.965%K +1.17%G +0.065% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 16:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.85%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.67I 17.64%NM 17.13%EV +4.25%E +0.750%K +0.911%G +0.039% | 4.62I 21.65%NM 21.02%EV +3.22%E +0.696%K +0.888%G +0.029% | 3.0% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.92%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.86%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -8.72%E -5.66%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +2.97%E +0.529%K +0.645%G +0.019% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.89%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.49%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.62%EV -0.583%E -0.131%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.98%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.83%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Casumo | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| betPARX | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.20%EV -10.50%E -6.95%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV +1.13%E +0.205%K +0.250%G +0.003% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.08%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.58%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.34%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.75%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -0.712%E -0.132%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.34%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.31%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.27%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.52%EV -4.83%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -3.47%E -0.661%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.39%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV -4.39%E -0.844%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -6.23%E -1.22%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.55%EV -5.76%E -3.62%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -3.26%E -0.754%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 16:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 16:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.07%E -1.61%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.45%EV -5.16%E -3.23%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%EV +0.534%E +0.119%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.71%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -9.91%E -2.02%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 16:23 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -10.82%E -2.23%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 16:24 |
| Coral | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -2.20%E -1.33%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 15:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -4.57%E -2.84%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -11.74%E -2.45%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.01%EV -7.54%E -4.83%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -13.58%E -2.89%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -3.93%E -0.915%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -17.26%E -3.84%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.81%E -6.23%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-08 16:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.58% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.90% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.7% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.04% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 1.1% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.19% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 16:25 |