La scuola delle quote

Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa

Inizio: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nottingham Forest (Casa)

Previsione 37.17%2.69quota equa
EV -0.001%
Vantaggio -0.000%
Kelly -0.001%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.80%37.17%37.15%37.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.512.502.6944.44%39.84%40.00%37.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Aston Villa (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.51%2.90quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.581%
Kelly -0.896%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.69%34.58%34.46%35.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.712.752.8541.67%36.93%36.36%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.32%3.53quota equa
EV +1.38%
Vantaggio +0.386%
Kelly +0.536%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.77%28.25%28.39%29.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.333.353.5834.72%30.07%29.85%27.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 36.59%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.92%EV -5.45%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.49%EV +1.38%E +0.386%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.6%2026-03-23 05:34
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.57%EV -1.49%E -0.562%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV -0.316%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 05:29
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-16 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-16 10:29
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-16 10:30
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-16 10:29
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 06:58
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 10:30
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 18:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:29
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:29
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 11:00
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 10:30
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 19:49
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 07:19
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.56%E -3.23%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 05:10
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.49%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 13:20
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.49%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 13:20
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:29
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 10:30
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.28%E -3.96%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 16:29
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.35%E -0.829%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:50
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.35%E -0.829%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:50
Coolbet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -2.98%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 14:14
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 36.93%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -6.26%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 13:30
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 02:42
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:40
MyBookie.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -7.44%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.52%E -2.81%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.11%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 16:28
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 13:19
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 17:10
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 09:30
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 09:29
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 09:30
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -15.46%E -6.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-20 19:49
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 13:19
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 09:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.28%E -3.96%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:30
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:30
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.74%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.14%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -9.94%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-19 16:26
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -12.01%E -4.71%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-19 16:29
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-23 05:09
Unibet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.19%EV -13.76%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.52%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.29%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-19 16:44
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.38%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.04%EV -17.18%E -7.16%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.58%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-16 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-21 19:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%2.9%2026-03-23 05:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%2.9%2026-03-23 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%2.9%2026-03-23 05:29
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 27.22%1.34I 74.63%NM 52.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 20.36%42.4%2026-03-23 05:40