L’École des cotesNottingham Forest v Aston Villa
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nottingham Forest (Local)
Prévision 37.17%2.69cote équitable
EV -0.001%
Avantage -0.000%
Kelly -0.001%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.69
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.80%37.17%37.15%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.512.502.6944.44%39.84%40.00%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Aston Villa (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.51%2.90cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.581%
Kelly -0.896%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.69%34.58%34.46%35.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.712.752.8541.67%36.93%36.36%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.386%
Kelly +0.536%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 3.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.77%28.25%28.39%29.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.333.353.5834.72%30.07%29.85%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.59%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.92%EV -5.45%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.49%EV +1.38%E +0.386%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.6% | 2026-03-23 05:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.57%EV -1.49%E -0.562%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV -0.316%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 05:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 06:58 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| Bally Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 11:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 07:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.56%E -3.23%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 05:10 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.49%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 13:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.49%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.28%E -3.96%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.35%E -0.829%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.35%E -0.829%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -2.98%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 14:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.93%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -6.26%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 13:30 |
| Bovada | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 02:42 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -7.44%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.52%E -2.81%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.11%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 16:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-16 13:19 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -15.46%E -6.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 13:19 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.28%E -3.96%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.74%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.14%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -9.94%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-19 16:26 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -12.01%E -4.71%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-23 05:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.19%EV -13.76%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.52%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.29%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.38%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.04%EV -17.18%E -7.16%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.58%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-03-23 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-03-23 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-03-23 05:29 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 27.22% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 52.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 20.36% | 42.4% | 2026-03-23 05:40 |