La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Nottingham Forest (Local)
Predicción 37.17%2.69momio equitativo
EV -0.001%
Ventaja -0.000%
Kelly -0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.80%37.17%37.15%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.512.502.6944.44%39.84%40.00%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aston Villa (Visitante)
Predicción 34.51%2.90momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.581%
Kelly -0.896%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.69%34.58%34.46%35.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.712.752.8541.67%36.93%36.36%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV +1.38%
Ventaja +0.386%
Kelly +0.536%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.77%28.25%28.39%29.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.333.353.5834.72%30.07%29.85%27.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.59%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.92%EV -5.45%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.49%EV +1.38%E +0.386%K +0.536%G +0.007% | 1.6% | 2026-03-23 05:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.57%EV -1.49%E -0.562%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV -0.316%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-23 05:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-23 06:58 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 18:30 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| Bally Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 10:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 11:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-22 07:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.56%E -3.23%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-23 05:10 |
| Betsson | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.49%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 13:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.49%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-16 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.28%E -3.96%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.35%E -0.829%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.35%E -0.829%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -2.98%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 14:14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.93%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -6.26%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-16 13:30 |
| Bovada | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 02:42 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 16:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -7.44%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.52%E -2.81%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.11%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 16:28 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-19 16:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-16 13:19 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 09:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -15.46%E -6.31%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-20 19:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-16 13:19 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 09:30 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.28%E -3.96%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-16 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.74%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.14%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -9.94%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-19 16:26 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -12.01%E -4.71%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-19 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-23 05:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.19%EV -13.76%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.52%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.29%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-19 16:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.38%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.04%EV -17.18%E -7.16%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.58%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-03-16 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-21 19:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-03-23 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-03-23 05:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76% | 2.9% | 2026-03-23 05:29 |
| Smarkets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 27.22% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 52.42% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 20.36% | 42.4% | 2026-03-23 05:40 |