مدرسة الاحتمالات

Nottingham Forest v Aston Villa

البداية: 2026-04-11 14:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Nottingham Forest (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.17%2.69السعر العادل
EV -0.001%
الأفضلية -0.000%
Kelly -0.001%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.80%37.17%37.15%37.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.252.512.502.6944.44%39.84%40.00%37.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Aston Villa (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.51%2.90السعر العادل
EV -1.66%
الأفضلية -0.581%
Kelly -0.896%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
33.69%34.58%34.46%35.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.712.752.8541.67%36.93%36.36%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.32%3.53السعر العادل
EV +1.38%
الأفضلية +0.386%
Kelly +0.536%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.77%28.25%28.39%29.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.333.353.5834.72%30.07%29.85%27.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 36.59%EV -0.001%E -0.000%K -0.001%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.92%EV -5.45%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.49%EV +1.38%E +0.386%K +0.536%G +0.007%1.6%2026-03-23 05:34
Marathon Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.57%EV -1.49%E -0.562%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.89%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.53%EV -0.316%E -0.090%K -0.125%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-23 05:29
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-16 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-16 10:29
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-16 10:30
Svenska Spel2.60I 38.46%NM 37.66%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.36%EV -1.66%E -0.581%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-16 10:29
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-23 06:58
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -0.882%E -0.252%K -0.353%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-16 10:30
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.26%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 18:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:30
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:29
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 10:29
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.23%EV -3.38%E -1.21%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.19%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 11:00
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-16 10:30
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.39%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 19:49
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 07:19
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.56%E -3.23%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-23 05:10
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.49%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 13:20
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.49%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.62%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 13:20
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:29
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 10:30
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -10.28%E -3.96%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-19 16:29
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.35%E -0.829%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:50
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.13%EV -2.35%E -0.829%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-17 00:50
Coolbet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -2.98%E -1.14%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.89%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.61%EV -5.70%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 14:14
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 36.93%EV -4.09%E -1.59%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.07%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.79%EV -6.26%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-16 13:30
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -2.60%E -0.994%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.85%EV -5.80%E -2.12%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 02:42
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 16:40
MyBookie.ag2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -7.44%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.52%E -2.81%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -7.11%E -2.17%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 16:28
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.21%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 16:30
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-16 13:19
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 17:10
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 09:30
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 09:29
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-16 09:30
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -15.46%E -6.31%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-20 19:49
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.35%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.11%E -1.86%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-16 13:19
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.83%E -2.53%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-16 09:30
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.06%E -2.83%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.28%E -3.96%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 00:40
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:30
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -9.25%E -3.52%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-16 10:30
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.74%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.14%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -9.94%E -3.13%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-19 16:26
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.32%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -12.01%E -4.71%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-19 16:29
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-23 05:09
Unibet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.19%EV -13.76%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.52%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.29%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-19 16:44
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.38%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.04%EV -17.18%E -7.16%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.58%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-16 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -18.44%E -6.40%K -9.81%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-21 19:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%2.9%2026-03-23 05:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%2.9%2026-03-23 05:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.76%2.9%2026-03-23 05:29
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 27.22%1.34I 74.63%NM 52.42%3.45I 28.99%NM 20.36%42.4%2026-03-23 05:40