Language:English
Manchester United v Aston Villa
Head to Head
Manchester United (Local)
Prediction 42.54%2.35fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.65%42.54%42.41%43.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.172.202.2950.00%46.06%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aston Villa (Visit)
Prediction 31.76%3.15fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.598%
Kelly -0.884%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.60%31.75%31.76%33.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.932.903.0936.36%34.14%34.48%32.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.69%3.89fair odd
EV +0.707%
Edge +0.180%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%25.72%25.83%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.603.9229.41%27.71%27.78%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Manchester United (Local): 42.54%; Aston Villa (Visit): 31.76%; Draw: 25.69%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.92, producing a positive expected value of +0.707%.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.01%EV -2.57%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.87%EV -1.85%E -0.598%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.12%EV +0.707%E +0.180%K +0.242%G +0.002% | 1.5% | 2026-10-24 18:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -10.66%E -5.07%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.29%EV -8.95%E -4.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -5.02%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-24 17:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-24 17:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-24 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.05%EV -10.23%E -4.85%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.00%EV -6.93%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.71%EV -10.85%E -3.13%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-24 17:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.65%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.19%EV -14.91%E -7.46%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.41%EV -12.65%E -4.60%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -12.65%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |