The School of Odds
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Manchester United v Aston Villa

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 16:30 UTC

Final: Manchester United 4–4 Aston Villa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

69 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester United (Local)

Prediction 47.69%2.10fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.517%
Kelly +0.978%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.97%47.62%47.61%48.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.992.002.1253.76%50.16%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aston Villa (Visit)

Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV -0.611%
Edge -0.174%
Kelly -0.243%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.95%28.31%28.42%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.303.5133.33%30.15%30.30%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.00%4.17fair odd
EV -0.892%
Edge -0.216%
Kelly -0.285%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.07%23.96%25.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.893.904.1328.57%25.71%25.64%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester United (Local): 47.69%; Aston Villa (Visit): 28.32%; Draw: 24.00%. For Manchester United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.10. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.12, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (69 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.26%EV +1.10%E +0.517%K +0.978%G +0.011%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.59%EV -2.88%E -0.838%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-08 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%EV +0.142%E +0.068%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-08 16:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%EV +0.142%E +0.068%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-08 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%EV +0.142%E +0.068%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-08 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.67%EV +0.142%E +0.068%K +0.129%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.83%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.0%2026-11-08 16:15
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:15
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:15
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.43%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.84%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-08 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -2.24%E -1.09%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-08 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.39%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.44%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-08 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.35%EV -2.72%E -1.33%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 16:15
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.91%EV -3.20%E -1.57%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.68%EV -5.99%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 16:10
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 16:15
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.56%EV -4.15%E -2.06%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.81%EV -0.611%E -0.174%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.63%EV -0.892%E -0.216%K -0.285%G +0.000%2.5%2026-11-08 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.24%EV -4.15%E -2.06%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.61%E -0.393%K -0.520%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-08 16:10
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.70%EV -4.15%E -2.06%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.03%EV -3.16%E -0.924%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.32%EV -4.15%E -2.06%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 16:15
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.89%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.17%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.94%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-08 16:15
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.79%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.70%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.51%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-08 16:15
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.74%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.08%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.21%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-08 16:14
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-08 16:00
picklebet_au🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:15
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 16:15
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 16:14
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.27%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 16:15
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 16:02
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 16:15
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 16:14
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-08 16:15
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-08 16:15
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -10.80%E -3.43%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -5.10%E -2.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-08 16:14
Betsson🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -5.10%E -2.56%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.61%EV -2.59%E -0.754%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 15:50
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.51%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -2.31%E -0.669%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -2.57%E -0.633%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.69%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.10%EV -4.86%E -1.45%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-08 16:15
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 16:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.30%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 16:10
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.74%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.83%EV -3.29%E -0.817%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-08 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 16:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 16:14
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-08 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-08 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.73%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 16:14
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.14%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 16:15
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-08 16:15
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.56%E -1.99%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.22%E -3.94%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 16:15
Caesars🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -7.96%E -4.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -0.894%E -0.255%K -0.357%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -7.96%E -4.13%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -12.41%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-08 16:04
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.97%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-08 16:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.39%E -2.93%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-08 16:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.37%EV -10.35%E -5.50%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -13.64%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-08 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 46.48%EV -11.30%E -6.08%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -15.05%E -5.02%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -16.01%E -4.57%K -6.40%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-08 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-11-08 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-11-08 16:10
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%0.6%2026-11-08 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-11-08 16:15
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-11-08 16:15
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-11-08 16:15
Polymarket◎2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%3.0%2026-11-08 16:15