預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Manchester United v Aston Villa

2026-11-08 16:30 UTC — EPL

獨贏

24 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Manchester United (主隊)

預測 42.54%2.35公平賠率
EV -2.57%
優勢 -1.12%
Kelly -1.99%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.29

博彩公司預測分布
41.65%42.54%42.41%45.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.922.172.202.2952.08%46.19%45.45%43.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Aston Villa (客隊)

預測 31.76%3.15公平賠率
EV -1.85%
優勢 -0.598%
Kelly -0.884%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.09

博彩公司預測分布
30.15%31.75%31.76%33.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.802.932.903.0935.71%34.11%34.48%32.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 25.69%3.89公平賠率
EV +0.707%
優勢 +0.180%
Kelly +0.242%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 3.92

博彩公司預測分布
23.88%25.72%25.83%26.61%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.403.623.603.9229.41%27.62%27.78%25.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值

對於獨贏,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)估計各選項的機率為:Manchester United (主隊):42.54%;Aston Villa (客隊):31.76%;和局:25.69%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於3.89的公平十進位賠率。 有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的賠率;目前最佳賠率為3.92,因此產生+0.707%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (24 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 43.01%EV -2.57%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.87%EV -1.85%E -0.598%K -0.884%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.12%EV +0.707%E +0.180%K +0.242%G +0.002%1.5%2026-10-24 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -14.91%E -7.46%K -14.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.09%E -0.283%K -0.383%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 19:11
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 17:15
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 17:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-24 17:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 17:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 17:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.29%EV -8.95%E -4.18%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -5.02%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 17:18
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 17:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 17:50
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 17:20
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.91%EV -18.31%E -9.54%K -19.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.80%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-24 19:11
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 17:20
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 17:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 17:20
picklebet_au🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 17:15
ReBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 43.05%EV -10.23%E -4.85%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.00%EV -6.93%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-24 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.71%EV -10.85%E -3.13%K -4.39%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 17:18
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.65%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 17:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-24 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-24 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-24 17:50