语言:简体中文
Manchester United v Aston Villa
胜负盘
Manchester United (主队)
预测 42.54%2.35公平赔率
EV -2.57%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -1.99%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.29
博彩公司预测分布
41.65%42.54%42.41%45.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.922.172.202.2952.08%46.19%45.45%43.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
Aston Villa (客队)
预测 31.76%3.15公平赔率
EV -1.85%
优势 -0.598%
Kelly -0.884%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.09
博彩公司预测分布
30.15%31.75%31.76%33.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.932.903.0935.71%34.11%34.48%32.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.69%3.89公平赔率
EV +0.707%
优势 +0.180%
Kelly +0.242%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 3.92
博彩公司预测分布
23.88%25.72%25.83%26.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.623.603.9229.41%27.62%27.78%25.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Manchester United (主队)：42.54%；Aston Villa (客队)：31.76%；平局：25.69%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.89。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.92，由此产生+0.707%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.01%EV -2.57%E -1.12%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.87%EV -1.85%E -0.598%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 25.12%EV +0.707%E +0.180%K +0.242%G +0.002% | 1.5% | 2026-10-24 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -14.91%E -7.46%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -3.12%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -1.09%E -0.283%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-24 19:11 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.23%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 17:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -2.38%E -0.625%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 17:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.52%E -2.96%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.66%E -0.976%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.94%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -4.27%E -1.90%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.29%EV -8.95%E -4.18%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -5.02%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-24 17:18 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-24 17:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.51%E -2.09%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.29%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-24 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.91%EV -18.31%E -9.54%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.80%EV -11.06%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.29%EV -8.80%E -2.48%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-24 19:11 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 17:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.40%E -2.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -8.53%E -3.97%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.71%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-24 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.05%EV -10.23%E -4.85%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.00%EV -6.93%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -10.08%E -2.88%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.71%EV -10.85%E -3.13%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-24 17:18 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.78%E -6.24%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.65%E -3.72%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-24 17:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-24 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33% | 172.7% | 2026-10-24 17:50 |