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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — EPL

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Manchester City (主队)

预测 61.66%1.62公平赔率
EV -3.19%
优势 -2.03%
Kelly -5.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
60.11%61.69%61.40%64.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.56%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Brighton and Hove Albion (客队)

预测 17.95%5.57公平赔率
EV +7.68%
优势 +1.28%
Kelly +1.54%
增长率 +0.118%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.86%17.95%18.24%19.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.275.226.0021.74%18.99%19.14%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.39%4.90公平赔率
EV -0.092%
优势 -0.019%
Kelly -0.024%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.90

博彩公司预测分布
19.48%20.35%20.36%21.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.574.604.9023.81%21.90%21.74%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Manchester City (主队)：61.66%；Brighton and Hove Albion (客队)：17.95%；平局：20.39%。 对于“Brighton and Hove Albion (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.57。 有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为6.00，由此产生+7.68%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +7.68%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.118%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 17:25
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.67%EV -3.19%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.96%EV +4.09%E +0.706%K +0.853%G +0.035%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.37%EV -1.52%E -0.315%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-17 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -8.12%E -5.45%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV +4.09%E +0.706%K +0.853%G +0.035%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -0.092%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +3.20%E +0.556%K +0.673%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV +2.30%E +0.403%K +0.489%G +0.011%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.13%E -0.444%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.96%EV +1.40%E +0.248%K +0.301%G +0.004%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 19:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 17:55
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -8.12%E -5.45%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.52%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 18:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -6.68%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 17:29
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -6.68%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.30%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.98%EV -11.20%E -7.78%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -11.31%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 18:15
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:55
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:35
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -11.82%E -8.27%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-17 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.71%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.72%EV -12.44%E -8.76%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -14.36%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-17 17:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%7.1%2026-10-17 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-17 20:00