Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Manchester City v Brighton and Hove Albion

2026-10-31 15:00 UTC — EPL

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Manchester City (Local)

Prévision 61.66%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.03%
Kelly -5.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.11%61.69%61.40%64.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.56%66.67%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Brighton and Hove Albion (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.95%5.57cote équitable
EV +7.68%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.54%
Croissance +0.118%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.86%17.95%18.24%19.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.275.226.0021.74%18.99%19.14%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.39%4.90cote équitable
EV -0.092%
Avantage -0.019%
Kelly -0.024%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.48%20.35%20.36%21.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.574.604.9023.81%21.90%21.74%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Manchester City (Local) : 61.66% ; Brighton and Hove Albion (Visiteur) : 17.95% ; Match nul : 20.39%. Pour Brighton and Hove Albion (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.57. 6 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.00, pour une espérance positive de +7.68%.

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.45%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV +7.68%E +1.28%K +1.54%G +0.118%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-17 17:25
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.67%EV -3.19%E -2.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.96%EV +4.09%E +0.706%K +0.853%G +0.035%4.83I 20.70%NM 20.37%EV -1.52%E -0.315%K -0.397%G +0.000%1.6%2026-10-17 19:35
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.06%EV -8.12%E -5.45%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.46%EV +4.09%E +0.706%K +0.853%G +0.035%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.48%EV -0.092%E -0.019%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV +3.20%E +0.556%K +0.673%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-17 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.78%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.56%EV +2.30%E +0.403%K +0.489%G +0.011%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -2.13%E -0.444%K -0.561%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.64%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.96%EV +1.40%E +0.248%K +0.301%G +0.004%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-17 19:34
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 17:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 17:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 17:55
picklebet_au🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -1.29%E -0.235%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 17:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.03%EV -8.12%E -5.45%K -16.57%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -4.88%E -0.921%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.52%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.28%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.20%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 18:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.27%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -5.78%E -1.10%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -6.68%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 17:29
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.85%EV -9.35%E -6.36%K -19.90%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -6.68%E -1.28%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.30%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -4.17%E -0.887%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-17 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.98%EV -11.20%E -7.78%K -25.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.50%EV -8.47%E -1.66%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -11.31%E -2.60%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.96%EV -3.80%E -2.44%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.15%E -0.663%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 18:15
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.03%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -6.21%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 17:55
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -4.42%E -2.85%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 19:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:35
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -5.65%E -3.70%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -10.29%E -2.34%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 19:35
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -7.50%E -5.00%K -15.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -8.25%E -1.83%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -11.82%E -8.27%K -27.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -10.27%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -12.33%E -2.87%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-17 17:25
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.74%E -5.90%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.71%E -2.71%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.72%EV -12.44%E -8.76%K -29.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.75%EV -17.44%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -14.36%E -3.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-17 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.47%7.1%2026-10-17 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-17 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.53%171.1%2026-10-17 20:00